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Author Topic: HURRICANE SEASON 2018  (Read 2962 times)

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #30 on: July 08, 2018, 10:41:00 AM »
Tropical Storm CHRIS is nearly stationary fairly far off the southeastern US coast...

TS BERYL will likely hit Puerto Rico as a Tropical Depression.
...

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?cone#contents

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #31 on: July 08, 2018, 01:00:54 PM »
Screen shot and info are from the University of Illinois:

http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/mtr/hurr/stages/home.rxml

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #32 on: July 08, 2018, 01:02:40 PM »
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/081751.shtml?

Tropical Storm Beryl Public Advisory

000
WTNT32 KNHC 081751
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022018
200 PM AST Sun Jul 08 2018

...DISORGANIZED BERYL MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...
...EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE BY THIS EVENING...

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #33 on: July 08, 2018, 01:03:47 PM »
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Chris

..CHRIS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THE U.S. COAST... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY...

11:00 AM EDT Sun Jul 8
Location: 32.9°N 75.0°W
Moving: Stationary
Min pressure: 1006 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #34 on: July 09, 2018, 08:02:48 PM »
Hurricane Warning well offshore

https://www.weather.gov/

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #35 on: July 10, 2018, 08:38:34 PM »
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Hurricane Chris
...CHRIS FINALLY BECOMES A HURRICANE WHILE MOVING AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES...
5:00 PM EDT Tue Jul 10
Location: 33.7°N 72.4°W
Moving: NE at 10 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #36 on: July 11, 2018, 01:50:50 AM »
Cat 2 Hurricane CHRIS, 5 AM EDT July 11, 2018

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #37 on: July 13, 2018, 04:36:47 PM »
CHRIS zoomed up out of the US map area, this is the last info I could find, archived:  (11:00 AM Friday, Eastern Time0
...

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2018/al03/al032018.fstadv.024.shtml?

Post-Tropical Cyclone CHRIS
ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032018
1500 UTC THU JUL 12 2018

THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHRIS.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  57.7W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 300SE 360SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  57.7W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.4N  59.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 47.7N  52.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 50.7N  44.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 53.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 110SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 56.5N  26.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 61.6N  18.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  60SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.4N  57.7W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
OTHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT
CANADA/CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE ON THE INTERNET AT
WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

NNNN
....................................................................................

Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/131751_MIATWDAT.shtml?

« Last Edit: July 13, 2018, 04:47:30 PM by Yowbarb »

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #38 on: July 13, 2018, 04:50:20 PM »
Yowbarb note: Some of the remaining storms from BERYL are strong...
...

https://phys.org/news/2018-07-nasa-fragmented-remnants-beryl-west.html

NASA finds fragmented remnants of Beryl, located west of Bermuda

R.R. Book

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #39 on: July 14, 2018, 04:45:14 PM »
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYb1voE37NA

Average annual hurricane season peak graphic:

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #40 on: July 15, 2018, 03:48:28 AM »
Hi R.R. yes the hurricanes really do peak in September. I will never forget summer and fall of 2004. FRANCES and JEANNE.

I was on the west coast of Florida helping my youngest daughter with her boys...


« Last Edit: July 15, 2018, 04:22:12 AM by Yowbarb »

R.R. Book

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #41 on: July 15, 2018, 04:22:37 AM »
That's right,  you were probably in the thick of it all!

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #42 on: July 16, 2018, 10:39:02 PM »
That's right,  you were probably in the thick of it all!

I think I must have still been in England during Hurricane FRANCES but was there during Hurricane JEANNE, the edge of which passed not far from us, to the north. That night I could hear whistling sounds like little twisters nearby...

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #43 on: July 16, 2018, 10:41:13 PM »
Lookin' peaceful in the Atlantic, now.
...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Tropical Weather Outlook Text   
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 17 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected for the next five days.

$$
Forecaster Blake
NNNN

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON 2018
« Reply #44 on: July 19, 2018, 04:31:15 PM »


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5

Tropical Weather Outlook Text   
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 19 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system while it moves quickly westward during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. An area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico is associated with a westward-moving tropical
wave.  A low pressure area is expected to form this weekend from
this wave and gradual development is possible early next week while
it continues westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week
several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear conducive for some development of this system
thereafter while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto

 

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