Author Topic: Solar Max Prediction  (Read 9820 times)

Endtimesgal_2012

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #15 on: August 15, 2013, 08:25:00 AM »
Yes, that is a good idea.  It is what we did with my survival group.  Every week we met and learned or shared something new, and then passed out printouts of the information for binders.

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #16 on: August 22, 2013, 12:16:41 PM »
Yes, that is a good idea.  It is what we did with my survival group.  Every week we met and learned or shared something new, and then passed out printouts of the information for binders.
That sounds really good...
Good ideas...

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #17 on: September 11, 2013, 02:23:59 AM »
A camel is actually a horse designed by a committee and this one has two humps now.  What amazes me more is how NASA does such a good job of eloquently explaining  how they were wrong for all the right reasons.  Which of course means that we on the designated fringe can only hope to be right for all the wrong reasons. ---Marshall

The calm before the solar storm? NASA warns 'something unexpected is happening to the Sun'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2290289/NASA-warns-unexpected-happening-Sun-year-supposed-peak-sunspot-cycle.html

'Sunspot numbers are well below their values from 2011, and strong solar flares have been infrequent,' the space agency says.

Experts have been baffled by the apparent lack of activity - with many wondering if NASA simply got it wrong.

However, Solar physicist Dean Pesnell of NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center believes he has a different explanation.

'This is solar maximum,' he says.

'But it looks different from what we expected because it is double-peaked.'

'The last two solar maxima, around 1989 and 2001, had not one but two peaks.'

Solar activity went up, dipped, then rose again, performing a mini-cycle that lasted about two years, he said.

Todays "nearly blank sun" does illustrate what they were referring to in the article Marshall posted...
- Yowbarb

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http://www.spaceweather.com/   Almost Blank Sun

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Endtimesgal_2012

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #18 on: September 11, 2013, 10:09:32 AM »
So what do all you readers think this means for us?

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #19 on: September 11, 2013, 02:50:58 PM »
So what do all you readers think this means for us?

Endtimesgal, good question.
I would also like to hear from more Members too on what they feel will happen...

I feel it is likely we will be clobbered by the sun by the end of 2013. We will need to protect our hard drives and ourselves...We need more expert opinions on how to do that, to protect ourselves, such as a new Topic in the SOLAR Board.

My opinion is based upon an article (I think it was Spaceweather) about how "The Carrington Event" took place right after time of unusually low solar activity, during a Solar Maximum year.

Marshall found the info first and posted it...- Yowbarb
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"Carrington Event," The Solar storm of 1859: 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_storm_of_1859

http://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/full/seri/MNRAS/0020/0000013.000.html  Richard Carrington

Richard Christopher Carrington (26 May 1826 – 27 November 1875) was an English amateur astronomer whose 1859 astronomical observations demonstrated the existence of solar flares as well as suggesting their electrical influence upon the Earth and its aurorae; and whose 1863 records of sunspot observations revealed [a lot of info about] the Sun.
.........


Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #20 on: September 30, 2013, 06:11:03 AM »
More details soon - Yowbarb

Spaceweather  http://www.spaceweather.com/

MAGNIFICENT ERUPTION:  Breaking the quiet in spectacular fashion, a magnetic filament erupted from the sun's northern hemisphere during the late hours of Sept. 29th: movie. The explosion hurled a magnificent CME into space, and it might have an Earth-directed component. Stay tuned for updates as more data from this event are analyzed.


Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #21 on: September 30, 2013, 07:48:49 AM »
Massive Solar Eruption - September 29, 2013 - Courtesy NASA, SDO/AIA, Helioviewer   1:53   24,570 Views

LINK:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vt0AX8L8qgA&feature=share&list=UUTiL1q9YbrVam5nP2xzFTWQ

Suspicious0bservers·917 videos
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Published on Sep 29, 2013 

How to Watch the Sun: Spaceweather 101 - http://youtu.be/ld5ecZuHECA

Watch the Sun:
http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
http://www.helioviewer.org

Website: http://www.suspicious0bservers.org
Music: http://www.suspicious0bservers.org/shop/

SPACEWEATHER:
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
SOHO Solar Wind: http://umtof.umd.edu/pm/
HAARP Data Meters: http://www.haarp.alaska.edu/haarp/dat...
Planetary Orbital Diagram - Ceres1 JPL: http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr...
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/cgi-b...
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/i...
SOLARIMG: http://solarimg.org/artis/
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/IswaSy...
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/sxi/goes15/i...
Gamma Ray Bursts: http://grb.sonoma.edu/
BARTOL Cosmic Rays: http://neutronm.bartol.udel.edu//spac...
ISWA: http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080/I...
NOAA Sunspot Classifications: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/lates...
GONG: http://gong2.nso.edu/dailyimages/
GONG Magnetic Maps: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/ondem...


Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #22 on: October 11, 2013, 01:03:43 PM »
There have been two M-Class solar flares in a time period of about 2 1/2 days.
NOAA chart shows both of them,
Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #23 on: October 11, 2013, 02:41:55 PM »
Update:  The sunspot referred to in this article is AR1865.

FARSIDE ERUPTION:  An active region located just behind the sun's northeastern limb erupted this morning, producing an X-ray flash; registered an M1.5  despite the fact that it was partially eclipsed by the edge of the sun
[continues]

http://spaceweather.com/
 

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #24 on: October 15, 2013, 06:22:37 AM »
Yowbarb Note:
For anyone who didn’t know already:  M1 Class solar flare, today.
M-flares on October 09, 11, 13 and 15. In between the M-flares there were at least two high C class ones; C5s and C8.
There could be X Flares, soon.
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http://spaceweather.com/

"Sunspot AR1865 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares." Credit: SDO/HMI

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #25 on: October 16, 2013, 10:03:14 AM »
Update: M-flares on October 09, 11, 13 and 15. ALSO: the 16th.
In between the M-flares there were at least two high C class ones; C5s and C8.
- Yowbarb
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http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5m.html

http://spaceweather.com/

"Sunspot AR1865 has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares."

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #26 on: October 18, 2013, 02:16:36 AM »
Yowbarb Note:
There were M or M+ solar flare on each of these days:
October 09, 11, 13, 15, 16 and also the 17th. 
To me, that looks like a significant increase in solar activity.

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #27 on: October 22, 2013, 06:42:47 AM »
There was another M1 solar flare

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #28 on: October 22, 2013, 10:32:09 AM »
Very recent updated image, yet another M1 flare!
...................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5m.html

Yowbarb

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Re: Solar Max Prediction
« Reply #29 on: October 22, 2013, 04:09:51 PM »
Recent M-4. That makes three M class solar flares today 22 Oct 2013

http://www.spaceweather.com/