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Author Topic: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)  (Read 10407 times)

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TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« on: October 11, 2013, 12:00:02 PM »
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2413web.txt 

Typhoon Nari [ INDIA ]

.................................................................................
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0213web.txt

Cyclone PHAILIN [ PHILIPPINES ]



« Last Edit: October 11, 2013, 12:09:33 PM by Yowbarb »

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #1 on: November 26, 2014, 12:01:57 PM »
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

Current Northwest Pacific/North Indian Ocean* Tropical Systems

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2114.gif

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #2 on: November 26, 2014, 12:11:19 PM »
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

Current Significant Tropical Weather Advisories:

ABPW10 (Western/South Pacific Ocean)
 - ABPW10 Text    http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/ab/abpwweb.txt
 
 - Satellite Image  http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/ab/abpwsair.jpg

•ABIO10 (Indian Ocean)
 - ABIO10 Text      http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/ab/abioweb.txt
 
 - Satellite Image   http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/ab/abiosair.jpg

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #4 on: February 26, 2015, 03:25:15 PM »
Current page info... http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #5 on: March 18, 2015, 10:47:56 AM »
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/
WTPS32 PGTW 180900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 016   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180600Z --- NEAR 14.9S 149.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 149.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181800Z --- 15.0S 148.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 14.9S 147.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z --- 14.9S 144.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z --- 14.8S 142.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   210600Z --- 13.9S 139.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   220600Z --- 12.8S 136.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   230600Z --- 12.4S 133.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 14.9S 148.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (NATHAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A 5-NM PINHOLE EYE AS IT CONTINUED TO
CONSOLIDATE AND DEEPEN. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE
EYE FEATURE WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON
AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND ABRF.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 18P IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW
(05 TO 10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AS A
POINT-SOURCE ANTICYCLONE DEVELOPED OVERHEAD. ADDITIONALLY, SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE AREA ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. TC
18P IS TRACKING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE
SOUTHWEST BUILDS. THE STR WILL EVENTUALLY DOMINATE THE STEERING
PATTERN AND DRIVE TC NATHAN ON A SOLID WESTWARD TRACK. UPPER-LEVEL
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO IMPROVE, ALLOWING TC 18P TO STEADILY
INTENSIFY LEADING TO A PEAK OF 85 KNOTS BY TAU 24 BEFORE MAKING
LANDFALL AND CROSSING CAPE YORK PENINSULA. FRICTIONAL EFFECTS WILL
CAUSE DEGRADATION BUT NATHAN WILL EMERGE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA
AS A 50-KNOT SYSTEM, RE-INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE MAKING A SECONDARY
LANDFALL OVER CAPE ARNHEM BEFORE TAU 96. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z AND 190900Z.//
NNNN
......................................................................................

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #6 on: March 18, 2015, 10:49:05 AM »
http://www.pdc.org/weather/index.php/2015/03/18/tropical-cyclone-activity-report-pacific-indian-oceans-706/

Tropical Cyclone 18P (Nathan) remains active in the Coral Sea…located approximately 225 NM east-northeast of Cairns, Australia
Tropical cyclone 18P (Nathan) remains active in the Coral Sea, which has now reached the equivalent of a category 1 hurricane [on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Scale]…eventually making landfall as a potential category 2 hurricane along the east coast of the Cape York Peninsula, northeast Queensland

Here’s a recent NASA satellite image of this storm offshore from the Queensland, Australian coast – and the current Willis Island Radar Loop
This tropical cyclone was located approximately 225 NM east-northeast of Cairns, Australia…crawling westward at a very slow paced 03 mph.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows that this system has developed a 5 NM pinhole eye, as it continued to consolidate and deepen.

Upper level analysis indicates that TC 18P is located in an area of low 5-10 knot wind shear, and good radial outflow. In addition, sea surface temperatures in the area are conducive for further development.

Going forward, this TC will move out of the current weak steering currents, into a more firmly established westerly track…as it heads towards the coast.

TC 18P intensity will gradually increase as the shear aloft weakens, which should allow strengthening prior to landfall along the east coast of the Cape York Peninsula. As this storm moves across the Peninsula, it’s forecast to weaken, although remain alive as it emerges into the Gulf of Carpenteria.

It’s winds are expected to down shift from the cyclone strength, back into a tropical storm as it moves out into the warm waters of the Gulf. Thereafter, as this westward crossing of the Gulf occurs, Nathan may re-intensify slightly…before making a second landfall along the east coast of Cape Arnhem within 96 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds, according the JTWC’s warning #16, are 65 knots…with gusts to 80 knots. The JTWC forecast has this system peaking at 85 knots with gusts to near 105 within 24 hours.

Here’s computer model track guidance for 18P – along with a NOAA satellite image of this tropical cyclone 

According to the Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), here’s information on this system -

BOM forecast track for Nathan  http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDQ65001.png?1426693847287

Hazards:

Gales with gusts to 110 km/h currently extend out to approximately 150 kilometers from the center of the cyclone. Gales may develop about coastal and island communities between Cape Melville and Innisfail on Thursday night before possibly extending north to Lockhart River and over adjacent inland areas from the coast, including Palmerville and Laura on Friday.

Destructive winds extend out to about 70 kilometers from the center of the cyclone and may begin to affect coastal and island communities between Cape Melville and Cairns overnight Thursday into early Friday morning (local time), depending on the track the cyclone takes. Maximum wind gusts close to the center are likely to reach 260 kilometers per hour as the cyclone makes landfall.

Coastal residents between Cape Melville and Cairns are specifically warned of the dangerous storm tide that could occur as the cyclone crosses the coast. The sea is likely to rise steadily up to a level well above the normal tide, with damaging waves and flooding of some low-lying areas, which could also extend some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by the authorities.

Large waves may produce minor flooding along the foreshore between Cairns and Innisfail. People in these areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to help their neighbors.

Heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding, may develop between Cape Melville and Cairns late Thursday and extend inland as the cyclone crosses the coast during Friday.

Recommended Action:

People between Cape Melville and Innisfail should immediately commence or continue preparations, especially securing boats and property using available daylight hours.

Yowbarb

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #10 on: September 04, 2015, 09:06:07 PM »
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/ JTWC

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/cp0315.gif   TYPHOON KILO
...
http://www.pdc.org/weather/index.php/2015/09/04/tropical-cyclone-activity-report-pacific-indian-oceans-827/

Pacific Disaster Center
04 2015  Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Pacific and Indian Ocean Reports
by Glenn James

Tropical cyclone 03C (Kilo) remains active in the western Pacific Ocean…it was located about 565 miles east-northeast of Wake Island
« Last Edit: September 05, 2015, 09:05:56 AM by Yowbarb »

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #11 on: September 10, 2015, 04:54:40 PM »
Typhoon KILO veering north...

JTWC:  http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/cp0315web.txt

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/cp0315.gif
...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Pacific_typhoon_season#Severe_Tropical_Storm_Etau

Severe Tropical Storm Etau

Severe tropical storm (JMA)

Tropical storm (SSHWS)

Duration
September 5 – September 9

Peak intensity
95 km/h (60 mph) (10-min)  985 mbar (hPa)

On September 2, a tropical disturbance developed 560 km (350 mi) to the northwest of the island of Guam. The system moved in a northwesterly track until it organised with deep convection,[253] therefore, it was then classified as a weak tropical depression by the JMA on September 5.[254] The next day, the JTWC issued a TCFA on the system as in the same time the JMA started issuing advisories on it.[255][256] Later in the same day, the JMA upgraded the depression to a tropical storm, receiving the name Etau whilst the JTWC designated it as 18W.[257][258] Formative bands wrapped around its ragged and ill-defined LLCC.[259] Satellite image revealed that Etau had convection increasing near its center and low vertical wind shear was surrounding the storm,[260] therefore, caused the JTWC to upgrade it to a tropical storm.

In Tochigi Prefecture a 20-year old died when a landslide hit in a mine who was working with heavy machinery
..............................................................................
http://www.rt.com/news/314891-floods-japan-evacuation-thousands/
« Last Edit: September 10, 2015, 05:10:59 PM by Yowbarb »

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2015, 02:09:25 AM »
Probably repeating myself here posting about this powerful storm...Wonder if it is as big a storm as Hurricane Katrina...Hope the people are prepared...

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2115.gif

Typhoon 21W (Dujuan) Warning #27
Issued at 28/0900Z
TC Warning Graphic

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Re: TYPHOONS: US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
« Reply #14 on: January 23, 2016, 12:18:52 AM »
Truth be told, I don't fully understand all the abbreviations on JTWC or where to find the links referred to here on the site. At least we have some idea what's happening...
It's about TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (CORENTIN) gusts to about 92 mph, moving SSW for past few hours. No idea where it will end up.
...
http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/ Joint typhoon warning Center

ABIO10 (Indian Ocean)
 Issued at 22/1800Z
 - ABIO10 Text
 - Satellite Image

ABIO10 PGTW 221800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/221800Z-231800ZJAN2016//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221351ZJAN2016//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 221200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (CORENTIN) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 19.7S 71.6E, APPROXIMATELY 758 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND
HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 221500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/ab/abiosair.jpg

 

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