Author Topic: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas  (Read 36056 times)

Yowbarb

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #315 on: June 15, 2017, 09:33:48 PM »
http://spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: Spewing a stream of solar wind as fast as 700 km/s (1.6 million mph), a hole in the sun's atmosphere is turning toward Earth. Forecasters expect the stream to reach our planet on June 15th or 16th with a 40% chance of minor G1-class geomagnetic storms when it arrives.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  G1 Geomagnetic Storm predicted

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Impacts
close
Power systems: Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft operations: Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Other systems: Migratory animals are affected at this and higher levels; aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)

Yowbarb

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #316 on: June 23, 2017, 11:55:15 AM »
http://spaceweather.com/

SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS TODAY: NOAA forecasters say that a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) might brush against Earth's magnetic field on June 23rd. CIRs are transition zones between slow- and fast-moving streams of solar wind. They contain enhanced magnetic fields and plasma density gradients that sometimes spark geomagnetic storms when they reach Earth. Chance of storms today: 20%

Yowbarb

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #317 on: July 06, 2017, 10:30:36 PM »
G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch for July 09, 2017
...

http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 WATCH FOR 9 JULY UTC-DAY
published: Thursday, July 06, 2017 20:55 UTC
A G1 (Minor) storm watch is in effect for the 9 July, 2017 UTC-day due to effects from an anticipated increase in solar wind speed associated with the onset of an isolated, positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Keep checking our SWPC webpage for the latest information and forecast updates.

MadMax

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #318 on: July 08, 2017, 06:22:15 AM »
I think they are being “overly optimistic” here ..

Secret FEMA Report Warns Of Major Solar Storms: “Significant Power Grid Collapses May Occur… Could Require 4 to 10 Years To Fully Restore”


http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/secret-fema-report-warns-of-major-solar-storms-significant-power-grid-collapses-may-occur-could-require-4-to-10-years-to-fully-restore_07072017

FEMA: ‘The Threat Is Real’ – Unpublished Internal Report Warns 4-10 Years Without Electricity After Major Solar Storm

An unpublished internal FEMA report has finally been obtained via an FOIA (Freedom of Information Act) request, which highlights the extent of damage a major solar storm, what they call the “100 year geomagnetic storm,” would do to critical infrastructure in the U.S., including “Significant power grid collapses,” which “could require 4-10 years to fully restore.”

The internal “for official use only” (Why didn't they want to publish this??) document originated in 2010, and in February 2016, was requested by governmentattic.org and was released to the organization on May 24, 2017, according to the 70 page PDF they released on June 12, 2017, which includes the timeline of request to release, the FEMA final response communication with the requested data of any unpublished internal FEMA or unpublished contractor technical or management reports and studies concerning risks from geomagnetic storms, risks from solar flares, and risks from electromagnetic pulse.

Under the category of “assessing the risk”  on page 25, they highlight the 1859 Carrington-Hodgson, stating “Anecdotal observational records of low-latitude red aurora hint that the largest events may occur roughly every 500-600 years, before dropping the bombshell “However, events strong enough to severely impact modern systems may occur as frequently as once in 100 years .

shown in the chart below, they list the trigger/Scenario event as “CME arrives at Earth causing geomagnetic storm,” showing the warning times listed as “15 minutes for geoeffectivity (17 hours from flare sighting). Affects: GEO satellites on daylight side exposed to solar plasma ; Some satellite communications and GPS signals severely disrupted due to scintillation in ionosphere; HF systems may work due to increased ionization at ionosphere F Layer ; Significant power grid collapses may occur in North America and elsewhere; could require 4-1 0 years to fully restore; “Last mile” telecommunications lost where no backup power available (e.g. cable, VoIP, data networks, etc.)

While many preppers understand clearly that in a grid down scenario, we are on our own, or part of a community that is prepared, but the government will not immediately be on hand to help,  but those that have denied that any grid down scenario could potentially last for years, will be completely unprepared for the fact that according to this newly revealed report, FEMA itself, as well as “partners at all levels, specifically state and local emergency management organizations that rely on amateur HF for incident operations support, will be suffering disruptions.

Max.
"Ignorance is Bliss" - (Agent Smith the first Matrix Movie)

MadMax

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #319 on: July 09, 2017, 01:25:35 PM »
Probably due to a Solar (Geomagnetic ) disturbance, these will greatly increase as Planet-X approaches ..

Amid Heat Wave, Fire Causes Power Outage for Part of Los Angeles!

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/09/us/los-angeles-heat-fire.html


A fire late Saturday at a Los Angeles Department of Water and Power facility forced officials to cut off power to about 140,000 city residents, leaving them without air-conditioning for roughly 12 hours during a record-breaking heat wave.

The fire, which broke out at a receiving station in the northern Los Angeles neighborhood of Northridge., burned intensely on and around high-voltage equipment, said Brian Humphrey, a spokesman for the Los Angeles Fire Department.

Columns of smoke billowed over the San Fernando Valley as firefighters worked for about two hours to extinguish the blaze, he said.

The fire left grid operators with no choice but to shut down power so that crews could safely put out the flames. Officials said in a statement on Saturday that the energy transmission system in the northern part of the city “was significantly disrupted by the fire and subsequent outage.”

Max.
"Ignorance is Bliss" - (Agent Smith the first Matrix Movie)

Yowbarb

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #320 on: July 18, 2017, 06:25:20 AM »
MadMax, thanks for posting... situation was worse than I had thought...
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   G2 Geomagnetic storm in past 24 hours...

MadMax

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #321 on: July 25, 2017, 02:41:19 AM »
Tick...Tock....Tick...

We got lucky! Monster sunspot AR2665 which faced Earth two weeks ago ejects a massive flare as big as the Carrington event and it's coming back!!

http://www.thebigwobble.org/2017/07/we-got-lucky-monster-sunspot-ar2665.html

NASA's STEREO-A spacecraft, which has a partial view of the sun's farside, identified the source of the blast as active sunspot AR2665

A massive flash on the far side of our Sun have the experts very excited as they believe it might have been the most intense kind of X-class flare, the sort that can knockout satellites and electrical equipment here on Earth.

It came from the massive sunspot AR2665 which was facing Earth just two 2 weeks ago when it fired off three big M-class flares, one of them being the biggest since April 2017.
The monster sunspot AR2665 is not finished however, and could well be facing Earth again next week as the as it swings round on the Sun's rotation.

According to Sacewather.com today's farside explosion occurred on the 5th anniversary of another significant farside event: The Solar Superstorm of July 23, 2012.
That superstorm, which has been compared to the historic Carrington Event of 1859, could have caused widespread power blackouts if it had not missed our planet.

Max.

"Ignorance is Bliss" - (Agent Smith the first Matrix Movie)

Yowbarb

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #322 on: July 27, 2017, 01:37:04 PM »
MadMax, thanks and we will be on the lookout for Monster sunspot AR2665 when it comes back around!
- Barb Townsend

MadMax

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #323 on: August 05, 2017, 12:05:02 PM »
Power Outages Continue from the Latest Solar Storm ..

LATEST SOLAR NEWS:
(Aug 5 1115UTC) Solar wind has peaked and despite multiple electrical disruptions yesterday, the event was modest only- just enduring. Solar wind should begin to calm down over the next 24 hours.

http://spaceweathernews.com/

Max.
"Ignorance is Bliss" - (Agent Smith the first Matrix Movie)

Yowbarb

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #324 on: August 17, 2017, 04:05:48 AM »
There is a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Warning until 1500 UTC today, 11 AM EDT.
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (MINOR) STORM CONDITIONS OBSERVED AT 17/0816 UTC

Yowbarb

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #325 on: September 05, 2017, 07:39:14 AM »
http://spaceweather.com/

A SOLAR STORM IS COMING: On Sept. 4th at approximately 2030 UT, active sunspot AR2673 hurled a CME toward Earth: movie. NOAA analysts are still modeling the cloud's trajectory. At first glance, the CME appears likely to reach our planet on Sept. 6th with the possibility of moderately strong (G2-class) geomagnetic storms when it arrives. Stay tuned for an updated forecast.

MadMax

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #326 on: September 05, 2017, 04:21:02 PM »
In the next several days Level 2-3 Geomagnetic Storms are expected ..

WSO - SPECIAL REPORT - HUGE CME Flashes HUGE ORB

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYp7If6LiY0

Max.
"Ignorance is Bliss" - (Agent Smith the first Matrix Movie)

Yowbarb

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #327 on: September 05, 2017, 11:40:53 PM »
MadMax thanks for your post. Wow!
Screenshot, the coming G3 Geomagnetic Storm   http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

MadMax

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #328 on: September 06, 2017, 01:00:01 PM »

LATEST SOLAR NEWS:
(Sep 6 1408UTC) First images of the CME come from STEREO A which shows a large, likely earth-directed CME.
(Sep 6 1229UTC) An X9.3 solar flare has erupted – significant CME analysis will need to take place today. This flare was the largest in 12 years and is the 15th largest solar flare on record.
(Sep 6 1143UTC) An X class solar flare erupted this morning – CME analysis is a few hours away. Meanwhile, solar wind must be monitored today for the impact of the CME that erupted two days ago. Strong geomagnetic storms are expected.

http://spaceweathernews.com/

Max
"Ignorance is Bliss" - (Agent Smith the first Matrix Movie)

MadMax

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Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
« Reply #329 on: September 06, 2017, 01:09:27 PM »
WSO good summary of the X-Class flair that occurred this morning..

WSO - Huge SOLAR FLARE Alert! Plus - DIRECT SHOT OF NEMESIS

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SlUfaePT3d8

Max.
"Ignorance is Bliss" - (Agent Smith the first Matrix Movie)