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Messages - Yowbarb
1
« on: June 17, 2013, 11:47:11 PM »
News
TWC's Exclusive TOR:CON Index
Dr. Greg Forbes Published: Jun 17, 2013, 6:16 PM EDT weather.com
Monday, June 17
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms in east-central and southeast NY, south VT, south NH, MA, CT, RI, north NJ. TOR:CON - less than 2.
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms in east WY, southwest SD, west NE, east CO, west KS, west OK panhandle, west TX panhandle, a strip of TX from near Lubbock to Abilene to Waco to Lufkin, north and central LA, southeast AR, central and south MS, southwest AL. TOR:CON - 3 west NE, southeast WY, northeast CO; 2 other areas.
Tuesday, June 18
Isolated severe thunderstorms in south IN, south OH, south PA, north WV, MD, DE, NJ and possibly extreme south NY along a cold front. TOR:CON - 2 or less.
Thunderstorms with embedded damaging gusts due to a moderately strong low-level jet in east-central MS, northeast, central AL, north and central GA, SC, NC, southeast VA. TOR:CON - 2.
Isolated severe thunderstorms in central and southeast MT, east WY, east CO, east NM, southwest SD, west NE, west KS, OK panhandle, west TX, central TX near San Angelo, Abilene, Waco, College Station. TOR:CON - 2 to 3 these areas.
Wednesday, June 19
Isolated severe thunderstorms in north-central and east MT, west ND, west SD, west NE, northeast WY, east CO, west KS, OK panhandle, east TX panhandle. TOR:CON - 2 to 3 MT areas; 2 other areas above
Thursday, June 20
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms in east ND, MN, northwest WI, north IA. TORCON - 3 to 4 these areas. A lower chance of isolated severe thunderstorms in south IA, north and west MO, southeast NE, KS, west OK, TX panhandle and southwest TX, southeast NM. TOR:CON - 2 to 3 south IA; 2 or less rest of area.
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« on: June 17, 2013, 11:37:55 PM »
http://www.weather.com/news/tornado-central/severe-weather-tracker-page Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across much of the country over the next couple of days, though the primary severe threat will focus on the Plains Monday night: The most focused severe thunderstorm potential will be over parts of the central and southern High Plains. Very large hail will be the biggest threat, along with gusty winds and a small chance of a tornado. This activity will sag south and southeastward during and may again coalesce into one or more squall lines with damaging winds and heavy rain overnight. Elsewhere, there were pockets of severe weather and flash flooding in parts of the South, Midwest, and Northeast during the day Monday but this activity should quiet down later Monday night.Tuesday will bring similar severe potential to mainly the same zone of the Plains and perhaps as far west as the Rockies of southern Colorado and New Mexico. Other strong storms may fire along the southward-sagging cold front from the Ohio Valley into the major cities of the Northeast, with some limited potential for additional severe weather. You can find the day-by-day tornado threat index on our TOR:CON forecast page at this link:http://www.weather.com/news/tornado-torcon-indexWe have all the maps and information you need to track severe weather below, including watches and warnings, radar and a live updating ticker. http://www.weather.com/news/tornado-central/severe-weather-tracker-pageSevere Weather Ticker: Latest UpdatesAll tornado warnings, along with relevant tweets from The Weather Channel and local National Weather Service offices in current threat areas, will appear here. Information updates automatically; no need to reload or refresh your browser. Time stamps on the left are in Eastern time; subtract one hour for Central time and two hours for Mountain time. For complete warning information and radar links, look below our live ticker. Tuesday will bring similar severe potential to mainly the same zone of the Plains and perhaps as far west as the Rockies of southern Colorado and New Mexico. Other strong storms may fire along the southward-sagging cold front from the Ohio Valley into the major cities of the Northeast, with some limited potential for additional severe weather. You can find the day-by-day tornado threat index on our TOR:CON forecast page at this link. We have all the maps and information you need to track severe weather below, including watches and warnings, radar and a live updating ticker. Severe Weather Ticker: Latest Updates All tornado warnings, along with relevant tweets from The Weather Channel and local National Weather Service offices in current threat areas, will appear here. Information updates automatically; no need to reload or refresh your browser. Time stamps on the left are in Eastern time; subtract one hour for Central time and two hours for Mountain time. For complete warning information and radar links, look below our live ticker.
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« on: June 17, 2013, 11:25:01 PM »
You Tube video followed by TWC video... Yowbarb .................................................. Multiple Tornado Reports 0:30 Link: http://youtu.be/uaM3jr6A6W8StormMaster21·103 videos .............................................................................. http://www.weather.com/video/multiple-tornado-reports-37298 VIDEO on page Multiple Tornado Reports June 13, 2013 - Several tornadoes were reported about an hour west of Chicago. This video was captured in Somonauk and Yorkville, Illinois.
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« on: June 17, 2013, 09:04:41 PM »
Nota de Barbara: habrá un montón de lluvia, posiblemente 8 pulgadas. Hay peligro de inundaciones, deslizamientos de tierra y fatalidades. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/SJUTWOSP+shtml/172339_SJUTWOSP.shtmlPerspectivas De Las Condiciones Del Tiempo En El Tropico-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 000 ACCA62 TJSJ 172339 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR 800 PM EDT LUNES 17 DE JUNIO DE 2013 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES ESTA EMITIENDO ADVERTENCIAS PARA DEPRESION TROPICAL NUMERO DOS...LOCALIZADA TIERRA ADENTRO SOBRE EL
SUR DE BELIZE.EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. && ADVERTENCIAS PUBLICAS SOBRE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL NUMERO DOS ESTAN SIENDO EMITIDAS CON EL TITULO DE WMO WTNT32 KNHC Y BAJO EL TITULO DE AWIPS MIATCPAT2. PRONOSTICOS/ADVERTENCIAS A CERCA DE LA DEPRESION ESTAN SIENDO EMITIDAS BAJO EL TITULO DE WMO DE WTNT32 KNHC Y BAJO AWIPS MIATCMAT2. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BROWN
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« on: June 17, 2013, 08:54:36 PM »
Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013
1100 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013
...DEPRESSION MOVING INLAND OVER BELIZE...
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 88.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NW OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER BELIZE AND
NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY...AND OVER EASTERN
MEXICO BY LATE TUESDAY. THE DEPRESSION COULD EMERGE INTO THE
SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE BY WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR WHILE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY
IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...
ALONG WITH THE MEXICAN STATES OF CHIAPAS...TABASCO...VERACRUZ...AND
THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
NNNN
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« on: June 17, 2013, 08:50:39 PM »
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« on: June 17, 2013, 08:33:42 PM »
Mr. Farmer, thanks for posting.
Noteworthy, due to the depth of this one...
M5.0 - 58km NNE of Baturinggit Kaja, Indonesia
Time 2013-06-17 15:17:58 UTC-04:00 Location 7.784°S 115.825°E Depth 257.6km
8
« on: June 17, 2013, 08:29:13 PM »
SOUTHERN SUNSPOTS: So far, Solar Cycle 24 has been lopsided. Sunspots north of the sun's equator have outnumbered sunspots to the south by a significant margin: data. But now the southern hemisphere is catching up. Today a raft of southern sunspots is rotating over the sun's eastern limb. Solar physicist and sunspot forecaster Dean Pesnell of the Goddard Space Flight Center believes Solar Cycle 24 is likely double-peaked. A surge in southern sunspots could herald the second peak, due in late 2013 or early 2014. This solar cycle has been fairly anemic so far, so it could use a boost; the sun's southern hemisphere could be poised to provide it. http://www.spaceweather.com/
10
« on: June 17, 2013, 08:25:09 PM »
http://www.spaceweather.com/Spaceweather Update: INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: The magnetic field of sunspot AR1775 is growing more complex, increasing the chance of an eruption. NOAA forecasters estimate a 20% chance of M-class solar flares on June 19th. SOUTHERN SUNSPOTS: So far, Solar Cycle 24 has been lopsided. Sunspots north of the sun's equator have outnumbered sunspots to the south by a significant margin: data. But now the southern hemisphere is catching up. Today a raft of southern sunspots is rotating over the sun's eastern limb. Solar physicist and sunspot forecaster Dean Pesnell of the Goddard Space Flight Center believes Solar Cycle 24 is likely double-peaked. A surge in southern sunspots could herald the second peak, due in late 2013 or early 2014. This solar cycle has been fairly anemic so far, so it could use a boost; the sun's southern hemisphere could be poised to provide it.
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« on: June 17, 2013, 09:03:34 AM »
Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
WTNT32 KNHC 171520 CCA
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013
1100 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013
CORRECTED TO ADD WIND HAZARD STATEMENT
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...
...APPROACHING COAST OF BELIZE...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 87.6W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWOWAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE INLAND
OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON. THE DEPRESSION COULD
EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.
SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER LAND
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE
ON TUESDAY IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA... NORTHERN HONDURAS AND
THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.
WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THROUGH TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
12
« on: June 17, 2013, 08:58:21 AM »
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pa/NOAA predicts active 2013 Atlantic hurricane season In its 2013 Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued today, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting an active or extremely active season this year.
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« on: June 17, 2013, 08:02:21 AM »
15
« on: June 16, 2013, 03:44:51 PM »
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