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Author Topic: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019  (Read 4352 times)

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #45 on: September 04, 2019, 12:02:32 AM »
2 PM EDT Sept 04, 2019  NHC
...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA...
Hurricane Dorian, Cat 2

2:00 AM EDT Wed Sep 4
Location: 28.7°N 79.2°W
Moving: NNW at 7 mph
Min pressure: 964 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php
[
b]Cat 2  winds of 96 - 110 MPH[/b]

Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to week


Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #46 on: September 04, 2019, 12:06:53 AM »
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/040558.shtml

928
WTNT35 KNHC 040558
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 43A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052019
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 04 2019

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 79.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ENE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:


The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued south of Sebastian
Inlet FL.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Sebastian Inlet FL to Surf City NC

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* North of Surf City NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Sebastian Inlet FL to Ponte Vedra Beach FL
* North of Savannah River to Surf City NC

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Savannah River
* North of Surf City NC to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Grand Bahama and the Abacos Islands in the northwestern Bahamas
* North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Savannah River
* Jupiter Inlet FL to Sebastian Inlet FL

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The North Carolina/Virginia border to Chincoteague VA
* Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point southward

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.  This is a
life-threatening situation.  Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic coast of the United
States should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian
, as
additional watches or warnings may be required later tonight and
Wednesday.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was located
near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 79.2 West. Dorian is moving
toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a slightly
faster motion toward the northwest or north-northwest is expected
through this morning.  A turn toward the north is forecast by this
evening, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Thursday
morning.  On this track, the core of Hurricane Dorian will move
dangerously close to the Florida east coast and the Georgia coast
through tonight.  The center of Dorian is forecast to move near or
over the coast of South Carolina and North Carolina Thursday through
Friday morning.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some weakening is expected during the next couple of days,
and Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during the
next few days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center,
and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km).  Saint Augustine Beach Pier, Florida, recently
reported a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) with a gust to 52 mph
(84 km/h).

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Unit
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 964 mb (28.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue along the Treasure
Coast of Florida for a few more hours.  Tropical storm conditions
are beginning along the northeastern coast of Florida and should
begin along the Georgia coast later this morning.

Hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the Hurricane
Warning area in Florida by early today.  Tropical storm
conditions will begin within the Hurricane Warning area in the
Carolinas later today, with hurricane conditions by tonight.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Savannah River to Cape Lookout NC...4 to 7 ft
Volusia/Brevard County Line FL to Savannah River...3 to 5 ft
Cape Lookout NC to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...3 to 5 ft
Sebastian Inlet FL to Volusia/Brevard County Line FL...2 to 4 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads...2 to 4 ft

Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of
strong winds.  The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.  Surge-related flooding depends on the how close
the center of Dorian comes to the coast, and can vary greatly over
short distances.  For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

RAINFALL:  Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Friday:

Northwestern Bahamas...Additional 1 to 4 inches, isolated storm
totals over 30 inches.
Coastal Carolinas...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.
Atlantic Coast from Sebastian, Florida to the Georgia, South
Carolina border...3 to 6 inches.
Far southeast Virginia...3 to 6 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF:  Large swells will affect the northwestern Bahamas, and
the entire southeastern United States coast from Florida through
North Carolina during the next several days.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES:  A tornado or two are possible near the immediate east
coast of Florida
during the next several hours.  This risk will
shift to along the immediate coasts of Georgia and the Carolinas
later today into Thursday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT
.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #47 on: September 04, 2019, 12:10:54 AM »
3 AM Update: Hurricane Dorian's pressure just dropped lower a few points. From 964 to 961.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

..RAINBANDS FROM DORIAN MOVING ONSHORE THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...
3:00 AM EDT Wed Sep 4
Location: 28.9°N 79.3°W
Moving: NNW at 8 mph
Min pressure: 961 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #48 on: September 04, 2019, 01:25:26 AM »
https://www.wjcl.com/article/storm-surge-and-tropical-storm-force-winds-expected-wednesday-as-dorian-nears-the-coast-savannah-georgia-lowcountry-hurricane-watch-warning-curfew/28887972

Southeast Georgia, Lowcountry will begin to feel Hurricane Dorian’s impact Wednesday afternoon

SAVANNAH, Ga. —
Hurricane Dorian remains a Category 2 storm as it turns toward southeast Georgia and the Lowcountry.

The storm is expected to impact southeast Georgia and the Lowcountry through Wednesday afternoon and early Thursday with tropical force and hurricane winds expected in the region. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Beaufort and Jasper counties.

4:15 A.M. WEDNESDAY UPDATE
Hurricane Dorian is east of Daytona Beach, Florida, with winds at 105 mph. The storm is moving north, northwest at 8 mph and southeast Georgia and the Lowcountry will begin to feel the impact Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.

WJCL Meteorologist Jonathan Meyers said some dry air from land is working into the storm, causing the eye to collapse a little bit. The storm should continue to weaken as it moves up the coast, but storm surge warnings remain for all coastal counties and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Beaufort and Jasper counties.

Areas near the beach will see wind between 50-80 mph.

4 A.M. WEDNESDAY UPDATE
Lane reversals continue in both Georgia and South Carolina.

In Georgia, westbound only traffic continues until further notice on Interstate 16, and U.S. Highway 80 is expected to close Wednesday and residents are urged to leave by 9 a.m.

In South Carolina, U.S. 278 is operating with normal traffic flow in Beaufort County, and tolls on Cross Island Parkway have been suspended. I-26 reversals are ending at noon Wednesday.

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #49 on: September 04, 2019, 05:22:46 PM »
Yowbarb Note: Hurricane Dorian strengthened, winds went back up to 110 and the pressure dropped, in past few hours. It is a threat to Charleston SC and many other communities along the southeast coast. A lot of people did evacuate, not sure what %. Damage will be in the multi millions.
...

CNN Breaking News, evening, Sept 04, 2019

https://youtu.be/OIEIOl10WrU 
...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

..LIFE THREATHENING STORM SURGE WITH SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...


8:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 4
Location: 30.9°N 79.8°W
Moving: NNW at 8 mph
Min pressure: 959 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #50 on: September 04, 2019, 05:24:20 PM »
Yowbarb Note: Hurricane Dorian strengthened, winds went back up to 110 and the pressure dropped, in past few hours. It is a major threat to Charleston SC and many other communities all along the southeast coast. Oh yes, inland, too. See the wind and rain bands in the graphic.
A lot of people did evacuate, not sure what %. Damage will be in the multi millions.
...

CNN Breaking News, evening, Sept 04, 2019

https://youtu.be/OIEIOl10WrU 
...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

..LIFE THREATHENING STORM SURGE WITH SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...


8:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 4
Location: 30.9°N 79.8°W
Moving: NNW at 8 mph
Min pressure: 959 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph

R.R. Book

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #51 on: September 05, 2019, 09:17:15 AM »
That's good to know Barb!  Glad to know that you were more conservative in your storm-spotting adventure than to wander off to the Keys - LOL!

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #52 on: September 05, 2019, 04:28:06 PM »
That's good to know Barb!  Glad to know that you were more conservative in your storm-spotting adventure than to wander off to the Keys - LOL!

Well, maybe in my younger days but not now, haha! :)

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #53 on: September 07, 2019, 09:22:03 AM »
RE Hurricane DORIAN
As many of you know the eye made landfall in Cape Hatteras. I am looking for more precise info on exactly when it hit ...
Meanwhile the hurricane spawned at least 21 tornadoes in the areas near the the storm.
Lots of coastal damage, here is one update on the article about the landfall in NC:

Video on this page: WATCH Hurricane Dorian makes landfall in North Carolina

link:
...
https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/hurricane-dorian-bahamas-aftermath/index.html

Hurricane Dorian's path and destruction

By Fernando Alfonso III, Mike Hayes, Braden Goyette and Meg Wagner, CNN

Updated 5:07 a.m. ET, September 7, 2019


Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #55 on: September 07, 2019, 11:44:01 AM »
Updated 2:00 pm, Sat September 7, 2019 
CATEGORY 2  SUSTAINED WINDS100 mph
MOVING NE at 29 mph WIND GUSTS120 mph
PRESSURE 953 mb  CURRENT SATELLITE 2:30 PM https://www.cnn.com/interactive/storm-tracker/

Yowbarb

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R.R. Book

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #57 on: September 07, 2019, 12:57:09 PM »
In the aftermath of Hurricane Dorian, Youtuber Murphy's Law stays in the background while switching on on a scanner that monitors emergency communications which seem to take place, if I am understanding what I'm hearing correctly, between civilians in the Bahamas, civilians in the U.S. Southeast and National Guardsmen on maritime patrol down there.  The radio exchange continues for around the first 26:00 of the video.

Several situations are emerging at once:

*Armed Haitian gangs have taken over more than one of the islands, causing a delay to rescues, as pilots with supplies are taken captive, and local police are imprisoned in their own jail.

*The National Guard has pulled out of the situation

*The U.S. and British Navies are on the way down there to put down the incursion.

*Well-meaning volunteers with medical expertise and supplies are being turned away by National Guard, as the situation is too unstable right now

*Coastal Floridians are bracing themselves for bodies to begin washing ashore. 

*Meanwhile, calls for help from the critically injured in the Bahamas are being acknowledged over the radio waves, but help is unable to respond as quickly as needed.

Murphy stated to Marfoogle News that the main point which she wanted to drive home was how quickly civilized society can break down in the aftermath of a disaster.

« Last Edit: September 08, 2019, 05:42:11 AM by R.R. Book »

Yowbarb

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Re: HURRICANE SEASON in the SOUTHEAST, 2018-2019
« Reply #58 on: September 07, 2019, 09:03:58 PM »
Oh Lord, It's worse than even i thought...

 

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