Planet X Town Hall

Yowbarb - MONITORING THE CHANGES => Solar Events => Topic started by: Yowbarb on February 24, 2014, 08:35:30 AM

Title: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 24, 2014, 08:35:30 AM
Note from Yowbarb: New location for the Geomagnetic Storm Topic.
Truth be told this is a better location for it, for now.

Here are the main pages and links used in this Topic:

•   Spaceweather site:  http://www.spaceweather.com/
•   NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center -  The official U.S. government space weather bureau:
•   http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
•   NOAA Space Weather Scale for Geomagnetic Storms:
•   http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/index.html#GeomagneticStorms
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 24, 2014, 11:30:18 PM
There was an X4.9 class solar flare about 7 PM EST the 24th.
There was an R3 Radio blackout.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 25, 2014, 06:09:43 AM
Yowbarb Note: Info also posted in the SOLAR EVENTS Topic. Previously an R3 Radio Blackout, one now. This big flare was not earth facing...
Check the Spaceweather page for Updates.
............................................

http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5m.html

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 73
Issue Time: 2014 Feb 25 1257 UTC

WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Valid From: 2014 Feb 25 1315 UTC
Valid To: 2014 Feb 26 0115 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 25, 2014, 06:24:38 AM
Solar Radiation Storm popped up again.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 26, 2014, 10:26:16 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 27, 2014, 05:00:04 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 45% chance of minor geomagnetic storms on Feb. 27th when a CME from Tuesday's X4-flare is expected to deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field. A dark and moonless midnight sky favors the visibility of high-latitude auroras.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 27, 2014, 02:26:47 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CME IMPACT TRIGGERS GEOMAGNETIC STORM:
A G2-class (moderate) geomagnetic storm is in progress following the glancing impact of a CME on Feb. 27th at 1645 UT (11:45 AM EST). The CME is an after-effect of the X4-flare observed on Feb, 25th (see below). High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 27, 2014, 09:46:18 PM
Yqowbarb Note: I will post some aurora photos here: 
Board Europe 
Topic:  Northern lights viewed in northern Europe
Link:  http://planetxtownhall.com/index.php?topic=1174.msg78502#msg78502

http://www.spaceweather.com/

SUBSIDING STORM: A geomagnetic storm that started on Feb. 27th when a CME sideswiped Earth's magnetic field is subsiding. At its peak, the storm measured G2 on NOAA storm scales and sparked bright auroras over northern Europe, Greenland and Iceland...
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 27, 2014, 10:02:07 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 02, 2014, 06:14:30 PM
There was a S1 Solar Radiation Storm and a

R1 Radio Blackout, and they are over now.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 09, 2014, 09:09:59 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CONTINUED CHANCE OF MINOR STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of minor geomagnetic storms on March 9th when a solar wind stream is expected to brush against Earth's magnetic field. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras. The best time to look is during the hours around local midnight.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 10, 2014, 08:55:48 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: enlightenme on March 10, 2014, 03:40:12 PM
What a Great Topic!  Thanks Barb, Thanks for all you do!
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 11, 2014, 04:53:26 AM
What a Great Topic!  Thanks Barb, Thanks for all you do!

Enlightenme it is so wonderful to see you back here again.
Thank You for all you are doing.  8)
I notice more people are coming on here again.  ;D
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: enlightenme on March 12, 2014, 08:22:40 AM
 ;)  ;D  Thanks!  :D
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 13, 2014, 10:23:08 AM
Enlightenme and All who are in the northern US:
You may have a chance to see auroras tonight because of the G1 Geomagnetic Storm.
Although the G1 passed now maybe you can see auroras. This was on TWC.

Planetary K-index
 Now: Kp= 2   quiet
 24-hr max:  Kp= 5  storm
explanation | more data
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: enlightenme on March 13, 2014, 12:09:01 PM
Barb, you must have been reading my mind!  I have always hoped to eventually be able to see those amazing auroras some time.  I know people just north of here have at least been able to once or twice, so I guess it is not out of the realm of possibility!  Thanks for the heads up!  ;) :D
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 13, 2014, 01:13:55 PM
Barb, you must have been reading my mind!  I have always hoped to eventually be able to see those amazing auroras some time.  I know people just north of here have at least been able to once or twice, so I guess it is not out of the realm of possibility!  Thanks for the heads up!  ;) :D

I really liked living farther north. Clear up on the Washington Peninsula. I did get a little glimpse of the aurora borealis.
It was thrilling! It was daylight to 10 PM at times.
Wishing you luck in seeing the lights.
Stay safe and warm.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 25, 2014, 07:49:34 AM
Yowbarb Note: There are absolutely no Radio Blackouts or Geomagnetic Storm Watches going on. This will probably change soon.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

LOOKING DOWN THE DOUBLE BARREL:  
Earth is looking down the double barrel of two potentially active sunspots: AR2010 and AR2014 have complex magnetic fields that harbor energy for strong eruptions, and both have grown since the week began. Click to view a movie of their development from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:

http://www.spaceweather.com/images2014/25mar14/doublebarrel_anim.gif?PHPSESSID=jibc04t5i6hsojej2v65rfej70
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html (Nothing now.)

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   Current Space Weather Conditions (Nada.)

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: enlightenme on March 25, 2014, 04:12:38 PM
Thanks for keeping us updated Barb!
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 25, 2014, 09:37:06 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1699
Issue Time: 2014 Mar 26 0149 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2014 Mar 26 0142 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 30, 2014, 09:55:19 PM
Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 570
Issue Time: 2014 Mar 30 1759 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Mar 31: None (Below G1) Apr 01: None (Below G1) Apr 02: G1 (Minor)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 01, 2014, 08:28:28 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/ 

http://sdowww.lmsal.com/sdomedia/h264/2014/03/29/SSW_cutout_20140329T1730-20140329T1809_AIA_131-193-171_N10W32.mov

IMPULSIVE SOLAR FLARE SCRAMBLES RADIO SIGNALS: On Saturday, March 29th, the magnetic canopy of sunspot AR2017 erupted, producing a brief but intense X1-class solar flare. A flash of extreme UV radiation sent waves of ionization rippling through Earth's upper atmosphere and disturbed the normal propagation of terrestrial radio transmissions. Radio engineer Stan Nelson of Roswell, NM, was monitoring WWV at 20 MHz when the signal wobbled then disappeared entirely for several minutes:
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 02, 2014, 08:27:32 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

WAITING FOR CMES: Arriving a little later than expected, at least three CMEs are still en route to Earth. NOAA forecasters expect glancing blows to commence on April 2nd with a 60% chance of polar geomagnetic storms when the impacts begin. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.. Aurora alerts: text, voice
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 11, 2014, 09:15:56 PM
GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A minor geomagnetic storm is in progress on April 11-12th.

http://www.spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 18, 2014, 05:56:35 AM
Yowbarb Note: Because of the earth - directed M flare on April 16th there will be a geomagnetic storm.
There is currently a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch.
...
"A dark plume of plasma leaps out of the blast site, and some it it left the sun in the form of a faint, Earth-directed CME. NOAA forecasters expect the storm cloud to reach Earth on April 19th around 1800 UT, possibly sparking geomagnetic storms. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras."
- Spaceweather April 17th
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 18, 2014, 08:56:58 AM
Yowbarb Note:

"..the incoming storm may be too weak to detect."  - in today's video from suspicious0bservers

http://youtu.be/DhPr4Ri9GcI
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 18, 2014, 02:40:10 PM
Yowbarb Note:
According to SolarWatcher today's M7.3 solar flare could result in a K7 Geomagnetic Storm

At the same time the Geomagnetic Storm Watch for NOAA is posted at only G1 -this should change soon....

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Endtimesgal_2012 on April 18, 2014, 06:11:30 PM
For a couple of days now my calls keep dropping, has anyone else been having this problem?  I just wonder if it is Geomagnetic or what?
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 20, 2014, 01:07:41 AM
For a couple of days now my calls keep dropping, has anyone else been having this problem?  I just wonder if it is Geomagnetic or what?

Endtimesgal - now that you mention it -
it happened yesterday when my son called me and today when oldest daughter called me. Also yesterday when another daughter called me.
Before I knew the M7.3 solar flare happened I had trouble keeping on the net a couple of times. Also had trouble posting on this site  - once or twice...
I have also been really wiped out...
While I can't be sure it's related, I think it's a possibility.
There have been S1 Solar Radiation Storms on and off for three days...
...
Space Weather Alerts and Warnings Timeline 
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 20, 2014, 11:24:03 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM IN PROGRESS, MORE TO COME: A minor G1-class geomagnetic storm is in progress following a CME strike during the early hours of April 20th. The impact sparked auroras over Scandinavia visible despite the brightening spring twilight.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 25, 2014, 07:37:20 AM
Yowbarb Note: The X1.33 Class solar flare is not supposed to result in a geomagnetic storm or if there is one it will not be major. The CME was a big one, but it was not earth-facing.
There was an R3 Radio blackout, which is over now and no posted Watches or Warnings.
[ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html ]

Departing sunspot complex AR2035-AR2046 "waited until the limb turned then fired."
X1.33 Solar Flare just after midnight UTC, April 25 2014

Sources:  Spaceweather site and suspicious0bservers video
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 11, 2014, 09:14:49 PM
Yowbarb Note:
There don't appear to be any Geomagnetic Storm Warnings or Watches in effect, now.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC UNREST: Earth's magnetic field is slightly unsettled as our planet passes through the outskirts of a solar wind stream. NOAA forecasters estimate a 20% chance of geomagnetic storms as night falls on Mother's Day.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 13, 2014, 08:34:13 PM
OOPs I posted this in the old Topic, a short while ago.
.............................................................................
Yowbarb Note: There are no Geomagnetic Storm Warnings or Watches.
This could change within three days.

http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 16, 2014, 10:17:07 AM
There are no current Geomagnetic Storm Watches or Radio Blackouts.
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 05, 2014, 12:29:07 PM
There was an eruption of a "mega filament" on the sun. First the southern portion then the northern portion which was still earth-facing. "The eruption created an enormous solar tsunami 200,000 miles long." "This created a halo eruption which could bring minor geomagnetic storms - but nothing to fear."
Source - Ben Davidson (suspicious0bservers)

S0 News June 5, 2014 | Filament Eruption, Hail Storm

Link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eG2ful_b6lM&list=UUTiL1q9YbrVam5nP2xzFTWQ
...

Spaceweather: ":...Coronagraph images show that the explosion was not squarely Earth-directed. Most of the CME will sail south of the sun-Earth line. Nevertheless, there could be a glancing blow on or about June 7th, possibly sparking polar geomagnetic storms." 

They posted a movie click the link:  http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/dailymov/2014/06/04/20140604_1024_0304.mp4

...
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 07, 2014, 02:17:02 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

CME IMPACT: As predicted, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on June 7th.
The glancing blow at approximately 16:30 UT could spark minor geomagnetic storms in the hours ahead.
High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 08, 2014, 10:37:36 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 09, 2014, 09:14:45 AM
Yowbarb Note: There was an R2 Radio Blackout previously (not serious.)
Also there was a G1 Geomagnetic Storm; over now. For now there are no Geomagnetic Storm Watches or Warnings in effect. It is possible there could be a larger solar flare such as an M or X flare today, in which case there will be geomagnetic storm warnings.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 09, 2014, 09:30:31 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/  WAITING FOR AN X FLARE

Sunspot AR2080 s now squarely-facing Earth, an arrangement which could lead to a geoeffective X-flare. The sunspot has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong eruptions, and it has been growing rapidly alongside several companion spots. These developments are shown in a three-day movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:
Click link:

http://www.spaceweather.com/images2014/09jun14/spots_ani.gif?PHPSESSID=vs9sabfino1j5cqvj72ico6fl7
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 10, 2014, 08:54:33 AM
There was a double X flare around midnight UTC today. X2 and X1.5
These events are not expected to generate a strong geomagnetic storm...
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/ 

"A new sunspot (AR2087) suddenly emerging from behind the sun's southeastern limb erupted twice, producing an X2.2-flare at 11:42 UT and an X1.5-flare at 12:52."

"...Preliminary coronagraph images from NASA's STEREO probes show a bright CME emerging from the blast site, traveling mostly away from the sun-Earth line. No strong impacts are expected."
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 10, 2014, 02:47:09 PM
Currently no Geomagnetic Storm Watches or Warnings. I think this expired already...


http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 461
Issue Time: 2014 Jun 10 1309 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2014 Jun 10 1230 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 11, 2014, 08:16:24 AM
Yowbarb Note: There was another X1 solar flare about 5 AM EDT today.
There is an incoming CME from yesterday's double X flare, but so far no Watch or Warning is posted.
It is not expected to be a problem... Click this link for the movie: http://www.spaceweather.com/images2014/11jun14/cme_anim.gif?PHPSESSID=o0e10um6s2is5k1b8bnme8i8g2
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 13, 2014, 02:45:28 AM
Yowbarb Note:
Please click LINK to see movie of CME:

http://spaceweather.com/images2014/11jun14/cme_anim.gif?PHPSESSID=4hc4nr0o09r7iganilkg53vk01

POSSIBLE GEOMAGNETIC STORM TODAY: A coronal mass ejection hurled into space by the double X-flare of June 10th could sideswipe Earth's magnetic field today. NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of polar geomagnetic storms in response to the glancing blow,

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 14, 2014, 05:10:21 PM
There was an R1 Radio Blackout sometime in the previous 24 hours but none now. No geomagnetic storms yet.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

DELAYED IMPACT? A CME expected to hit Earth's magnetic field on Friday the 13th did not show up. Either it missed or, as NOAA forecasters suspect, the storm cloud is still en route. A glancing blow on June 14th could spark a G1-class geomagnetic storm.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 16, 2014, 06:44:20 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC UNREST: NOAA forecasters estimate a 20% to 30% chance of minor geomagnetic storms on June 16-17 in response to a high-speed solar wind stream. Auroras may be difficult to see, however, because of glare from the waning full Moon.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 19, 2014, 07:34:21 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC UNREST: A minor G1-class geomagnetic storm circled the poles during the late hours of June 18th in response to unsettled conditions in the solar wind. NOAA forecasters estimate a 10% chance of more storming on June 19th as Earth exits the solar wind disturbance
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 20, 2014, 09:44:06 AM
There are currently no Geomagnetic Storm Watches or Warnings posted.
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 22, 2014, 09:42:46 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

THE FIRST MAGNETIC STORM OF SUMMER? NOAA forecasters estimate a 35% chance of minor geomagnetic storms today, June 22nd, when a CME is expected hit hit Earth's magnetic field. High-latitude sky watchers shoud be alert for auroras.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 01, 2014, 11:38:16 AM
The odds of a geomagnetic storm sharply increase in the coming days...

http://spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 07, 2014, 01:06:22 PM
The odds for a geomagnetic storm are ratcheting up.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 09, 2014, 12:23:38 PM
No Geomagnetic Watches or Warnings... There was an  R2 Radio blackout awhile ago...
...

http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 02, 2014, 08:30:05 PM
http://spaceweather.com/


MINOR STORM WARNING:  A CME is heading for Earth. The cloud was hurled into space on July 30th when a magnetic filament on the sun erupted, and it appears to be on course to sideswipe Earth's magnetic field. NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Aug. 2nd when the CME arrives
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 15, 2014, 06:10:56 PM
There are no Geomagnetic Watches or Warnings yet - soon there will be.
Spaceweather said a magnetic filament erupted today - a CME is heading toward Earth.
...
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 20, 2014, 03:27:08 PM
G2
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 29, 2014, 11:07:44 AM
G1 geomagnetic storm within the past 24-hours.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 10, 2014, 11:06:45 AM
Yowbarb Note:  An X flare just happened...

http://www.spaceweather.com/

...NOAA forecasters estimate a 79% (not a typo: 79%) chance of polar geomagnetic storming on Sept. 12th
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 10, 2014, 11:20:01 AM
Yowbarb Note:
There are Geomagnetic Storm WATCHES posted up through Sept. 14th.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 27, 2014, 04:16:28 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2325
Issue Time: 2014 Sep 27 1555 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2324
Valid From: 2014 Sep 24 0030 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2014 Sep 28 1600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 03, 2014, 12:04:53 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Top News of the Day:

2014-10-02 20:32 UTC  R1 and R2 Radio Blackouts

Regions 2172 and 2173 produced R1 (minor) and R2 (moderate) solar flare radio blackouts at 02/1744 UTC (1344 EDT) and 02/1901 UTC (1501 EDT) respectively. Initial analysis of available Solar Dynamics Observatory imagery suggests most of the ejecta is likely directed too far west and south of the Sun/Earth line to cause significant impacts. However,  forecasters are currently awaiting coronograph imagery to assess the coronal mass ejection associated with this event to determine if there is any Earth-directed component and any impacts this may have.

Stay tuned here for updates
......................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/    http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 03, 2014, 07:30:21 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

2014-10-03 13:29 UTC  Update: R1 and R2 Radio Blackouts

Regions 2172 and 2173 produced R1 (Minor) and R2 (Moderate) solar flare radio blackouts yesterday at 02/1744 UTC (1344 EDT) and 02/1901 UTC (1501 EDT) respectively. Analysis of SOHO/LASCO coronograph imagery confirms that the associated CME is not Earth-directed and no geomagnetic impacts are expected as a result of this event.

Stay tuned here for updates
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 09, 2014, 03:16:25 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Radio Blackouts          R-scale value               

Previous 24 hour        R1
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 22, 2014, 04:29:59 PM
X1 class solar flare earlier today.
There was a R3 Radio Blackout today, too.
There is a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch in effect.

Image: Space Weather Alerts and Warnings Timeline 2318 UTC, 1818 - 6:18 PM EDT Oct 22 2014
..................................................................................
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Space Weather Alerts and Warnings Timeline
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 23, 2014, 09:37:30 AM
Big CMEs are not necessarily expected, in spite of the X flaring. Today there is a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch.
- Yowbarb
...http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 27, 2014, 11:53:00 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2360
Issue Time: 2014 Oct 27 2146 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2014 Oct 27 2146 UTC
Valid To: 2014 Oct 28 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 29, 2014, 04:44:08 AM
The largest sunspot for over twenty years has rotated away from the earth-facing position without creating a major geomagnetic storm.
Recent CME from filament was not Earth-facing.
Info and image from this morning's video by Ben Davidson.

Rocket Explodes, Spaceweather | S0 News October 29, 2014  4:45  301+ views

Link: http://youtu.be/NTy6MUP3Yu0?list=UUTiL1q9YbrVam5nP2xzFTWQ

Published on Oct 29, 2014
www.Suspicious0bservers.org
www.ObservatoryProject.com
Blog: http://www.suspicious0bserverscollect...

Today's Featured Links:
Antares Explodes: http://www.space.com/27576-private-or...

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 02, 2014, 09:04:59 PM
Awhile back, there was an S1 Solar Radiation Storm.
..........................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/index.html#SolarRadiationStorms

S 1  Minor 
Biological: none.
Satellite operations: none.
Other systems: minor impacts on HF radio in the polar regions.
......................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Current Space Weather Conditions 0455 UTC Nov 03  - 1155 PM EDT Nov 02 2014
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 07, 2014, 09:09:13 PM
X1 solar flare and one R3 Radio Blackout already happpened. Image below is from 1400 UTC.  Some news from this morning from NOAA below:
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

2014-11-07 22:11 UTC  R3 Radio Blackout Event (Updated)

Region 2205 produced a X1 solar flare (NOAA Scale R3 - Radio Blackout) event at 1726 UTC (12:26 EST) on 07 November 2014.  The impact of the flare itself was short-lived degradation to HF radio communications on the daylight side of Earth.  There was a coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with this event, and although only a couple of ESA/NASA SOHO LASCO coronograph images are available at this time, it is clear the associated CME is not particularly fast nor headed directly at Earth.  Detailed modeling of this event will occur once all coronagraph images become available to determine what, if any, impact can be expected as a result. 
     
Website Change Ahead! (Updated 10/21/2014)
 Due to performance issues observed during today's attempted deployment of SWPC's new website, we have delayed that deployment while investigating further. It is SWPC's goal to ensure the highest level of functionality and performance when the site change is made. Additional updates on schedule will be provided as they become available. When the site change is implemented www.spaceweather.gov and www.swpc.noaa.gov will link to the new website that is currently in final beta release at origin-www.swpc.noaa.gov. For full details, please see the new site.
 
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 10, 2014, 09:07:06 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GENTLE IMPACT PRODUCES MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM:
A CME sideswiped Earth's magnetic field on Nov. 10th. The impact was weak, yet nevertheless sparked a G1-class geomagnetic storm and auroras around the poles. Marketa S. Murray sends this picture from outside Fairbanks, Alaska.
"We some 'Alaska rain' in Fairbanks this morning," says Murray. "Beautiful!"

The CME that sparked the display traveled to Earth at about 600 km/s. As CMEs go, that is slow. Because the storm cloud was relatively plodding, it did not develop a shock wave at its leading edge--hence the weak impact and minor storm.

Geomagnetic unrest should continue around the poles for the next 24 hours as CME effects subside. Arctic sky watchers, remain alert for auroras.

PHOTO: Auroras Taken by Marketa S Murray on November 10, 2014 @ Fairbanks,Alaska
http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=104523
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 10, 2014, 09:11:28 AM
See Spaceweather site for updates:  http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Current Space Weather Conditions 1705 UTC, Noon EST, Nov 10 2014
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 10, 2014, 09:12:09 PM
There is currently a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 14, 2014, 04:46:10 PM
There have been a few Alerts and Warnings - currently just the G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch.
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 15, 2014, 08:23:33 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

http://www.spaceweather.com/

G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch in effect, 1618 UTC, 1118 AM EST, Nov 15, 2014. Recent M3 class solar flares...
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 15, 2014, 01:22:57 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2383
Issue Time: 2014 Nov 15 1355 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2382
Valid From: 2014 Nov 14 1906 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2014 Nov 15 2300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 15, 2014, 03:25:34 PM
Yowbarb Note: This is not a serious situation it does show some increase again in solar activity...EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected.
Issued about 5:41 PM EST.
...

http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2384
Issue Time: 2014 Nov 15 2241 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2383
Valid From: 2014 Nov 14 1906 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2014 Nov 17 1400 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 16, 2014, 09:15:46 AM
In the past 24 hours there was an R1 Radio Blackout. Not so serious but it shows an increase in solar activity. There is a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch going on...
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/ See Spaceweather home page for updates and links.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Alerts and Warnings Timeline 1654 UTC, 1154 AM EST Nov 16, 2014 NOAA
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 16, 2014, 11:54:16 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 590
Issue Time: 2014 Nov 16 1859 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 16: G1 (Minor) Nov 17: G1 (Minor) Nov 18: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 19, 2014, 02:24:38 PM
There's a continuing G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/alerts_timeline.html

Space Weather Alerts and Warnings Timeline
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 22, 2014, 11:34:02 AM
No Geomagnetic Storm Watches or Warnings now...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 01, 2014, 12:32:39 PM
There are no Geomagnetic Storm Watches now...
There was an R1 Radio blackout during the past 24 hours.
...............................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 04, 2014, 10:57:53 PM
Yowbarb Note: Although there was an M6 solar flare in the past 24 hours there is currently no Geomagnetic Storm Watch.
There was an R2 Radio blackout during the past 24 hours.
This is not considered serious; this does reflect some increase in solar activity. See the Spaceweather site for updates...
...............................................................................................
http://www.spaceweather.com/

M6-CLASS SOLAR FLARE (UPDATED): The magnetic canopy of sunspot AR2222 erupted on Dec. 4th at 18:25 UT, producing an M6-class solar flare: movie. The explosion did not hurl a CME into space, so Earth-effects of the blast were limited to a brief HF radio blackout around the western hemisphere. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of additional M-flares during the next 24 hours.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 07, 2014, 07:21:42 AM
This update from Spaceweather

GEOMAGNETIC STORM: Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras tonight. Earth is passing through a fast-moving (~700 km/s) stream of solar wind, and this is causing G1-class geomagnetic storming around the poles
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2398
Issue Time: 2014 Dec 07 1148 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2397
Valid From: 2014 Dec 06 1020 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2014 Dec 08 1900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 07, 2014, 11:29:06 PM
There is a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch now...
...........................................................................

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 591
Issue Time: 2014 Dec 07 2110 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Dec 08: G1 (Minor) Dec 09: None (Below G1) Dec 10: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 09, 2014, 12:19:28 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/warnings_timeline.html

Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3
Serial Number: 2142
Issue Time: 2014 Dec 08 1000 UTC

CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 2141
Begin Time: 2014 Dec 07 0231 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2029 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 12, 2014, 06:28:04 AM
Yowbarb Note: When I click the link on Spaceweather to look for Geomagnetic Watches and Warnings I get this page:
NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. LINK: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
This is updated and upgraded and a bit more complex to navigate...To me a bit harder to get the data but it is there...There has been a G1 Geomagnetic Storm today.
The rest of the day no Geomagnetic Storm predicted.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/notifications-timeline 

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/27-day-outlook-107-cm-radio-flux-and-geomagnetic-indices
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

WEEKEND OUTLOOK: A stream of high-speed solar wind is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field this weekend, possibly sparking auroras around the Arctic Circle. NOAA forecasters estimate a 55% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Dec. 13-14
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 17, 2014, 11:09:51 AM
No Geomagnetic Storm Warnings at the moment...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/notifications-timeline
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 19, 2014, 10:13:03 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/
CHANCE OF MAGNETIC STORMS TODAY:
SOHO coronagraph movie:

http://www.spaceweather.com/images2014/17dec14/cme_anim.gif?PHPSESSID=oohrvv5m3u1be53u0hup9ufnd6

A CME is heading in the general direction of Earth, and it could deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field later today. Scroll past this SOHO coronagraph movie for storm probabilities.
NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of polar geomagnetic storms. The cloud was hurled into space two days ago by an M9-class explosion in the magnetic canopy of sunspot AR2242. Although the bulk of the CME flew south of the sun-Earth line, a collision is still possible. Computer models suggest a glancing impact on Dec. 19th with magnetic reverberations lasting until the 20th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 20, 2014, 12:30:18 AM
Yowbarb Note: There are G1 and G2 Geomagnetic Storm Watches for the next 3 days, as of 03:18 today, Saturday.

http://www.spaceweather.com/

WEEKEND MAGNETIC STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% to 65% chance of minor geomagnetic storms this weekend when a pair of CMEs is expected to sideswipe Earth's magnetic field. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras after nightfall.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/notifications-timeline  Notifications Timeline 0818 UTC Dec 20, 2014. In effect for next three days
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 22, 2014, 08:20:03 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/  SOLSTICE GEOMAGNETIC STORM:
A coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth's magnetic field on Dec. 21st, sparking a G1-class geomagnetic storm. For sky watchers around the Arctc Circle, the longest night of the year was filled with colorful lights. Truls Tiller sends this picture from Tromsdalen, Norway.
"I was just about to go to bed on Dec. 22nd when I had a feeling [that something was up]," says Tiller. "So, at 2.45 a.m., I took my camera and went into the forest just behind my house. This is what I saw. It was amazing!"
More lights are in the offing. NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of continued geomagnetic storms on Dec. 22-23 as Earth passes through the wake of the CME.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 22, 2014, 08:30:34 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Space Weather Conditions on NOAA Scales
Monday, December 22, 2014 16:26:42 UTC

Today's Max observed:
G1 (minor) Geomagnetic Storm

Solar Radiation Storm Impacts (none)

R1 Radio Blackout (minor)

Predictions for rest of today:
R1-R2 - 85%      R3-R5 - 40%
Gromagnetic Storm: None
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 23, 2014, 07:07:31 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   Tuesday, December 23, 2014 15:04:21 UTC
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 23, 2014, 10:21:58 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 24, 2014, 05:34:55 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GROUND CURRENTS IN NORWAY:
A CME sideswiped Earth's magnetic field during the early hours of Dec. 23rd. The glancing impact did not spark bright auroras, but it did induce electrical currents in the soils of Norway. "I detected a fantastic CME shock wave on my instruments," reports Rob Stammes of the Polarlightcenter in Lofoten. The CME probably came from the X2-class flare of Dec. 20th. 

CME shock wave:  http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=105555&PHPSESSID=0at7to5smuvvattaqgoildds90
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 24, 2014, 05:45:46 AM
Yowbarb Note: No Geomagnetic Storms at the present time. There was a G2 Geomagnetic Watch earlier today. Now there is a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch.
...Update from NOAA: Wednesday, December 24, 2014 13:41:36 UTC
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/notifications-timeline

1333 UTC, 0833 AM EST on Dec 24, 2014 Notifications Timeline NOAA
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 24, 2014, 05:54:53 AM
Yowbarb Note: There have been no serious Geomagnetic Storms recently. These postings are just to help keep up
with the monitoring.
We do anticipate within the coming year to see a lot more solar activity. For now it is mild...
....

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/         Space Weather Conditions on NOAA Scales
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 26, 2014, 07:17:38 AM
Yowbarb Note: No Geomagnetic Storms in the past 24 hours. No Geomagnetic Storms expected today.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 28, 2014, 06:49:18 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

WEEKEND AURORA WATCH: NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of polar geomagnetic storms this weekend as Earth approaches a high-speed stream of solar wind.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  Space Weather Prediction Center
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 30, 2014, 10:53:17 AM
Planetary K-index
 Now: Kp= 3   quiet
 24-hr max:  Kp= 5  storm

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

"...NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of geomagnetic storms on Dec. 30th."
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 07, 2015, 09:30:11 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

UNEXPECTED GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A strong G3-class geomagnetic storm erupted during the early hours of Jan. 7th, sparking bright auroras around Earth's poles. What happened? The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) near our planet tipped south, opening a crack in Earth's magnetosphere. Solar wind poured in to fuel the strongest magnetic storm since Sept. 2014. NOAA analysts believe the fluctuation in IMF is related to the arrival of a CME originally expected to miss Earth. Browse the aurora gallery for pictures of the event:

http://spaceweathergallery.com/aurora_gallery.html   
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 07, 2015, 09:36:59 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 08, 2015, 06:12:04 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 14, 2015, 07:19:06 AM
Spaceweather conditions. No Geomagnetic Storm so far today; none expected. R1 Radio blackout already hapened.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 15, 2015, 07:30:22 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Jan. 15th when a CME is expected to sideswipe Earth's magnetic field. The storm cloud was propelled in our direction by a solar filament eruption three days ago. Residents of the Arctic, be alert for auroras.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 16, 2015, 08:38:18 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS: Polar geomagentic storms are likely for the next three days. The action begins on Jan. 16th when a late-arriving CME is expected to sideswipe Earth's magnetic field. Then, on Jan. 17-18, Earth could pass through a negative-polarity solar wind stream. The combined effect of these events has a 40% to 45% chance of of sparking geomagetic activity around the Arctic Circle.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 18, 2015, 03:23:22 PM

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.spaceweather.com/

MAGNETIC STORM STILL POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND: Despite a very quiet weekend so far, NOAA forecasters are still predicting geomagnetic activity in response to an incoming solar wind stream. The odds of a polar geomagnetic storm on Jan. 18th are as high as 50%. Arctic sky watchers should be alert for Northern Lights.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 27, 2015, 12:51:58 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/ 

AURORA SURPRISE PROMPTS ROCKET LAUNCH: A geomagnetic storm erupted during the early hours of Jan. 26th, sparking a surprise display of bright auroras around the Arctic Circle. Scientists took the opportunity to launch four sounding rockets from Alaska's Poker Flat Research Range to study the effect of solar storms on the upper atmosphere. Photographer Jamie Adkins created this composite shot of the rocket salvo:

http://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/larsoncollinscomposite_jla_1.jpg

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 28, 2015, 03:17:11 PM
There was n S1 Radio blackout today (minor)
No Geomagnetic storms predicted today...this could change...
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-watch-has-been-issued-30-31-january

A G1 Watch Has Been Issued for 30 & 31 January

published:   Wednesday, January 28, 2015 21:39 UTC   

A forecast Watch has been issued for G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm conditions on 30 and 31 January, 2015.
published: Wednesday, January 28, 2015 21:39 UTC



A forecast Watch has been issued for G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm conditions on 30 and 31 January, 2015. The potential for this activity is due a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream, expected to once again agitate Earth's magnetic field.  Depicted here is a SDO image of the coronal hole extending from the Sun's southern pole. Storms at the G1 level are a fairly common occurrence and pose little threat to technology or infrastructure. However, folks in Alaska may see a better showing of the Aurora. Once conditions develop and appear imminent, a forecast Warning will be issued. Once conditions are observed, an Alert will be transmitted. You can sign up to receive Watches, Warnings, and Alerts under the Subscribe heading above. Standby for more details

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 30, 2015, 09:47:46 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ 

Space Weather Prediction Center

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 31, 2015, 01:57:54 PM
A G1 Watch still... for 30 & 31 January

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 02, 2015, 09:01:01 AM
Yowbarb Note:  There was a G1 Geomagnetic storm earlier day. None now.
G1 predicted for today.
In case you didn't already know this: 
You scroll to the bottom of the Spaceweather.com page for the link to the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
Screen shot image:    1657 UTC, 1157 AM EST Feb 02, 2015
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ 
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 02, 2015, 01:15:47 PM
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 2451
Issue Time: 2015 Feb 02 2042 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2015 Feb 02 2040 UTC
Valid To: 2015 Feb 03 0400 UTC
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings

Warning Condition: Persistence

Comment: Original Warning was extended, but issued with incorrect date.  Should have been valid until 03 Feb 2015 0400 UTC, not 02 Feb 2015 0400 UTC.

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 04, 2015, 12:10:27 PM
There was an R1 Radio Blackout earlier today. (Condered a minor event.)No Geomagnetic Storm is predicted for today. Check updates here:

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 11, 2015, 08:32:10 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/m2-solar-flare-r1-minor-radio-blackout-cme

M2 Solar Flare (R1 Minor Radio Blackout) with CME
 published:   Tuesday, February 10, 2015 14:46 UTC   

NOAA Active Region 2282 produced a M2 (NOAA Scale R1- minor) solar flare at 09/2335 UTC (6:35 pm EST yesterday evening).
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 22, 2015, 05:09:51 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF MAGNETIC STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of geomagnetic storms on Feb. 22-23 in response to an incoming solar wind stream. Polar sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 26, 2015, 02:31:07 PM
No Geomagnetic storms predicted yet, for today:  http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.spaceweather.com/

WINDY WITH A CHANCE OF STORMS: Earth is passing through a stream of fast-moving solar wind, setting the stage for a possible outbreak of Northern Lights around the Arctic Circle. NOAA forecasters estimate a 35% chance of geomagnetic storms on Feb. 26th
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 27, 2015, 10:42:29 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SOLAR SECTOR BOUNDARY CROSSING: High-latitude auroras are possible on Feb 28th when Earth crosses through a fold in the heliospheric current sheet. This is called a "solar sector boundary crossing," and NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of polar geomagnetic storms when it occurs.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 27, 2015, 04:26:25 PM
G1 geomagnetic storm predicted for today...

http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 01, 2015, 03:44:58 PM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm earlier today. None now.

http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 02, 2015, 12:16:10 AM
03:15 AM EST March 02 update. There is a G1 Geomagnetic Storm now.
...............................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 02, 2015, 05:24:06 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/m-class-solar-flares-r1-minor-radio-blackouts
M-class Solar Flares (R1 Minor - Radio blackouts)
 published:   Monday, March 02, 2015 20:06 UTC   


A M4 flare (R1 – Minor Radio blackout on the NOAA Scales) occurred at 19:31 UTC on 02 March (2:31 pm EST).
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 05, 2015, 09:19:22 AM
No Geomagnetic Storms predicted right now.
Service interruption soon, presumably.
- Yowbarb
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/new-service-interruption-thursday-march-5th

NEW! SERVICE INTERRUPTION - Thursday, MARCH 5TH
 published:   Wednesday, March 04, 2015 22:45 UTC   


Thursday, March 5th, SWPC operations will be temporarily suspended for system maintenance.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 07, 2015, 01:36:00 AM
No Geomagnetic Storm Warnings at the current time.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/service-interruption-saturday-march-7th

Service Interruption - Saturday, March 7th
published: Friday, March 06, 2015 19:59 UTC

On Saturday, March 7th, SWPC operations will be temporarily suspended due to facility power system maintenance.  The outage window will begin at 6:00 AM and end at 3:00PM Mountain Standard Time on that day.  During this time all SWPC forecast and alert products, data products, and email Product Subscription Service will be suspended. SWPC's website will remain in service, but all data will be stale until the power outage has concluded. In the event of active space weather or a reasonable chance of active space weather, this maintenance will be postponed.  Phone notification of key stakeholders and customers currently receiving that level of support will continue uninterrupted during this outage.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 07, 2015, 01:54:24 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

...On March 6th, this sunspot produced an M3-class solar flare and caused a minor radio blackout over Indonesia. And that was while the sunspot was only partially visible. Stronger flares and more potent blackouts are possible this weekend as AR2297 turns toward Earth.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 11, 2015, 09:42:51 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

X2-FLARE AND RADIO BLACKOUT:
All week long, sunspot AR2297 has been crackling with solar flares. Today it produced a really big one. On March 11th at 16:22 UT (09:22 PDT), Earth orbiting-satellites detected an X2-class flare, shown here in an image from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 12, 2015, 11:48:23 PM
There was an R1 Radio Blackout, minor, over now. G1 Geomagnetic storm Watch for March 13th.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS: Friday the 13th could be a lucky day for sky watchers. Several minor CMEs propelled toward Earth earlier this week by active sunspot AR2297 are expected to arrive en masse on March 12th and 13th. Their collective impact could spark bright auroras around the Arctic Circle. NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms when the CMEs arrive.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-minor-geomagnetic-storm-watch-issued-13-march-due-cmes

G1 (minor geomagnetic storm) Watch issued for 13 March due to CMEs
published: Tuesday, March 10, 2015 18:36 UTC

After analysis and modeling of imagery from the three CMEs yesterday, it appears that a glancing blow arrival from these combined transients is possible mid-day on 12 March.  Initial impacts at transient arrival are forecast to be below event threshold, however as the magnetic clouds pass the magnetosphere protecting Earth over the subsequent 18-24 hours, the peak magnetic disturbance in the form of a G1 storm is expected during the first few hours of 13 March (Universal time) or 12/2100 - 13/0300 EDT. Aurora Watchers - standby for more details.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 15, 2015, 01:24:38 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SUNDAY STORMS:

The X-flare of March 11th might not be done affecting our planet. According to computer models, a CME propelled into space by the explosion will sideswipe Earth's magnetic field on Sunday, March 15th. NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms if and when the CME arrives.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 16, 2015, 11:43:46 PM
The CME impact was about 12:30 AM EST today, the 17th.  There was a G1 (minor) Geomagnetic Storm earlier today and there is one going on now.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CME IMPACT: Arriving hours earlier than expected, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on March 17th at approximately 04:30 UT.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   G1  G1 Geomagnetic Storm now
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 17, 2015, 08:57:31 PM
G2 Geomagnetic Storm now... and predicted for the day... planetary-k-index 0345 UTC March 18th 1045 PM March 17, 2015
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G2 (Moderate) Geomagnetic Storms continue
 published:   Wednesday, March 18, 2015 02:33 UTC   

G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels continue as coronal mass ejection (CME) effects persists.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 18, 2015, 09:55:44 AM
Yowbarb Note: Since the last time I posted, overnight, the G2 Geomagnetic storm increased up to a G4 storm. There is a G2 storm right now and a G1 predicted for later today.
...http://www.spaceweather.com/    http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ 
 
ST. PATRICK'S DAY GEOMAGNETIC STORM:
The strongest geomagnetic storm of the current solar cycle is subsiding. Last night, March 17-18, the polar tempest sparked bright auroras around the Arctic Circle, creating scenes like this one over Kiruna, Sweden:

"I've never seen purples as deep as this before!" says Oliver Wright, who was up all night taking pictures. "I drove home during dawn and now have to sleep--the life of a happy aurora photographer."

The subsiding storm got started during the early hours of March 17th when a fast-moving CME hit Earth's magnetic field. At first, the CME's impact had little effect, producing no more than a minor G1-class (Kp=5) magnetic disturbance. As Earth moved into the CME's strongly-magnetized wake, however, the storm intensified until it became a G4-class (Kp=8) event. For more than 9 hours, it was the strongest geomagnetic storm of the current solar cycle. The glow of Northern Lights was seen as far south as Kansas and Virginia.  Photo: 
Aurora Corona taken by Oliver Wright on March 18, 2015 @ Kiruna
http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=109992
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 18, 2015, 12:40:27 PM
Update: The G2 Geomagnetic Storm is still going on.
19:33 UTC,  3:33 PM EST March 18, 2015 Space Weather Prediction Center NOAA
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/what-geomagnetic-storm

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 18, 2015, 01:00:05 PM
K index unsettled again. Updated 19:50 UTC, 3:50 PM EST March 18, 2015.
SEE NOAA page.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 19, 2015, 09:40:37 AM
A G1 Geomagnetic Storm continues and should happen all day. This is considered a minor storm but it does still show an increase in solar activity, this year, on a trend. Yesterday it was a G2 storm.
The K index is unsettled again (red) as of 1405 UTC  - that's 10:05 AM EST.
...http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Continuing Residual Magnetic Activity Following St. Patrick's Day G4 Storm
published:   Thursday, March 19, 2015 14:29 UTC   

While the magnetic response from the CME arrival on 17 March has now subsided, residual magnetic activity remains - in part to the presence of elevated solar wind velocities from a coronal hole high speed stream. Conditions as high as G1 (minor) could persist through today (19 Mar).
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 19, 2015, 08:48:14 PM
A G1 Geomagnetic Storm is still continuing. Later today it should subside...

Graph is from 0350 UTC March 20th, 11:50 PM EST, a few minutes ago.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 20, 2015, 02:14:53 PM
Yowbarb Note: That fairly long geomagnetic storm finally ended.
It was a G1 earlier. No geomagnetic storm now; none predicted for the rest of this day.
This latest NOAA chart was updated 2105 UTC - 1705 hours - 5:05 PM EST. Unsettled conditions are over for the time being.
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 20, 2015, 06:40:26 PM
Well - a G1 Geomagnetic Storm was not predicted to happen the rest of this day but there is one going on now. G1 is considered "minor" but this does represent more solar activity.
This update from the Space Weather Prediction Center is from 0130 UTC - 9:30 PM EST tonight. A few minutes. ago.
Also - K index unsettled again, 0130 UTC 21 Mar 15 NOAA
... http://www.spaceweather.com/
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/    http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 21, 2015, 08:29:28 PM
G1 storm predicted

Sunday, March 22, 2015 03:27:12 UTC
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 22, 2015, 01:53:32 AM
There is a G2 Geomagnetic Storm going on right now.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 24, 2015, 11:33:41 AM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm (minor) predicted for today.
K Index Unsettled 1825 UTC Mar 24, 2015

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 29, 2015, 07:38:20 PM
A G1 Geomagnetic Storm could still happen today, the UTC day...
G1 is minor.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 15, 2015, 10:59:44 PM
G1
Thursday, April 16, 2015 05:54:10 UTC

http://www.spaceweather.com/      http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/



Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 12, 2015, 11:44:04 PM
0640 UTC May 13, 2015 G2 Geomagnetic Storm now. (02:40 AM EDT)

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM: An interplanetary shock wave hit Earth's magnetic field on May 12th. Now, on May 13th, a high-speed stream of solar wind has arrived. The one-two punch is causing G1-class geomagnetic storms around the poles. [Update: G2]
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 17, 2015, 02:39:04 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/   http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/


G1 (Minor) Watch for 17 May 2015  Sunday, May 17, 2015 09:37:20 UTC
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 18, 2015, 11:09:05 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G2 (Moderate) Geomagnetic Storm in progress
 published:   Tuesday, May 19, 2015 03:19 UTC
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 22, 2015, 01:42:48 PM
Note from Yowbarb: There are no Geomagnetic Storms going on now and none expected today. That could change suddenly.
[Sunspots on the northern part of the Earth-facing side of our Sun could flare] - Suspicious0bservers video today.  https://youtu.be/lFImiTXI2yw
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 21, 2015, 08:34:39 PM
In the past 24 hours, there were R1s and S1s ...
a G3 Geomagnetic Storm is predicted for tomorrow.
..............................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Strike 3! A third CME raises Watch to G3 level for 22 June

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/strike-3-third-cme-raises-watch-g3-level-22-june

 
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 22, 2015, 03:20:09 PM
G4 (severe) geomagnetic storm earlier today..along with an R2 Radio blackout and an S2 Solar Radiation storm.
Now it is a G1 and another G4 expected today.

http://www.spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 22, 2015, 06:14:39 PM
Update -
Tuesday, June 23, 2015 01:06 UTC (Monday June 22, 2015 at 9:06 PM EDT)

A G3 is now predicted to occur in the next 24 hours, not a G4 as previously predicted on NOAA.
........................................................................................
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/    No Geomagnetic Storm now...

S1 Solar Radiation Storm going on now.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 22, 2015, 08:05:58 PM
S1, G3 now

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 23, 2015, 10:25:13 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 80% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on June 24th when another CME is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. The intensity of the storm is hard to predict. It could range from mild to severe. Stay tuned for updates

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  latest observed S1 Solar Radiation
Storm.
G2 Geomagnetic Storm expected

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 24, 2015, 07:10:59 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Wednesday, June 24, 2015 14:10:46 UTC
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 04, 2015, 06:32:31 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WARNING: The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) near Earth has just spiked sharply south. This condition almost always sets the stage for strong polar geomagnetic storms. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras after nightfall. The hours around local midnight are usually the best times to look


G1-Minor Geomagnetic Storms In Progress
 published:   Saturday, July 04, 2015 20:20 UTC   

A coronal hole is now in a geoeffective position and G1-Minor geomagnetic storms commenced at 1935 UTC (3:35pm ET) on this 4th of July 2
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 04, 2015, 06:59:51 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

Planetary K-index
 Now: Kp= 5   storm
 24-hr max:  Kp= 5  storm
explanation | more data
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 05, 2015, 01:24:17 AM
Updated 06:30:18 UTC July 05th
(02:30 AM EDT)
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 13, 2015, 08:26:25 PM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm going on...
....................................................................................
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS ON JULY 13TH: A stream of high-speed solar wind is buffeting Earth's magnetic field, and this is causing G1-class geomagnetic storms on July 13th. Sky watchers in several northern-tier US states saw auroras before sunrise on Monday

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 20, 2015, 01:30:51 PM
No Geomagnetic Storms showing on the NOAA board, yet.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 30, 2015, 03:56:41 PM
We may get a G1 Geomagnetic Storm sometimes in the next several hours.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

BLUE MOON AURORAS? NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on July 31st when a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. CIRs are transition zones between fast- and slow-moving solar wind streams. Solar wind plasma piles up in these regions, producing density gradients and shock waves that do a good job of sparking auroras. Any display will need to pierce the glare of Friday's Blue Moon

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 15, 2015, 10:48:16 PM
Yowbarb Note - I meant to post this way earlier...Anyway there was a G3 Geomagnetic Storm early today. G3 Geomagnetic Storm arrived early, Aug 15, then a G2; now a G1 predicted 2015-08-16
...
Update from NOAA
G3 Geomagnetic Storm http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 16, 2015, 12:56:18 AM
The predicted G1 Geomagnetic Storm is happening now...
..........................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 23, 2015, 12:05:27 AM
R1 Radio Blackouts happened and G1 Geomagnetic Storms are predicted. Aug 23, 2015
...
NOAA

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 23, 2015, 10:44:27 PM
Note: There was a G2 Geomagnetic Storm on the 23rd.
G1 predicted for later today.
........................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 26, 2015, 10:24:58 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 27, 2015, 12:48:28 AM
Yowbarb Note: There was an R1 Radio Blackout and a G2 Geomagnetic Storm earlier; a G1 storm now.
There is a G2 storm predicted today, the 27th.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 28, 2015, 04:56:25 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G2 Geomagnetic Storm predicted
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 30, 2015, 01:36:22 PM
Ben Davidson (Suspicious0bservers) said "there are magnetic pulsations which can be observed after geomagnetic storms,"  "but they have never been this strong."
He stated the geomagnetic event was extraordinarily long - referring to August 29th, 2015.

Magnetic Pulsations, Dominca Devastated | S0 News August 30, 2015    4:19  11,528 views

video link: https://youtu.be/6NH-KeyZBb4

Published on Aug 30, 2015
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 01, 2015, 08:48:13 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SOLAR SECTOR BOUNDARY CROSSNG: High-latitude auroras are possible on Sept. 2nd when Earth crosses through a fold in the heliospheric current sheet. This is called a "solar sector boundary crossing," and NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of polar geomagnetic storms when it occurs.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 04, 2015, 09:25:52 PM
There was a G1 Geomagnetic Storm earlier today, posted by Spaceweather. Auroas visible in Michigan, Vermont and the Yukon Territories... No storms at the present time.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 07, 2015, 12:11:29 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 07, 2015, 12:48:05 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

UPDATE:

CME EXPECTED TO MISS: A lopsided coronal mass ejection (CME) that left the sun on Sept. 4th will probably miss Earth. A first-look analysis at the time of the explosion suggested a possible CME strike on Sept. 7-8. Subsequent modeling, however, has lowered the odds of an impact. NOAA forecasters estimate a 35% chance of geomagnetc storms on Sept. 7th, declining to only 15% by Sept. 9th.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 08, 2015, 01:36:53 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G2 Geomagnetic Storm on Sept 07.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 08, 2015, 11:55:59 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Latest Observed

R  None      S  None     G  None

Predicted 2015-09-08 UTC

R1-R2  1%   R3-R5  1%  S1 or greater 1%  G none
 
Predicted 2015-09-09 UTC

R1-R2  1%    R3-R5  1%    S1 or greater  1%  G  None
 
Predicted 2015-09-10 UTC

R1-R2  5%   R3-R5  1%  S1 or greater  1%  G   None       

Next
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 09, 2015, 07:16:47 PM
There was a G2 Geomagnetic Storm in the past 24 hours. None now. A chance for a G1 later... Red auroras over Virginia today...
... http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 10, 2015, 06:05:58 PM
Geomagnetic Storm is predicted for today. That's a Minor storm.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/  Spaceweather site

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 11, 2015, 02:33:36 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SEPT 11TH GEOMAGNETIC STORM:
During the early hours of Sept. 11th, a high-speed solar wind stream hit Earth's magnetic field. The impact sparked a strong (Kp=7) geomagnetic storm and Northern Lights in the USA as far south as Wisconsin and Washington State. In Alaska, "the entire sky was moving like sea waves in colors of green and purple," reports aurora tour guide Marketa Murray, who took this picture outside Fairbanks:  Auroras
Taken by Marketa S Murray on September 11, 2015 @ Fairbanks - Alaska

http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=117403&PHPSESSID=t6uoai68544o4cdf36shm308b7 

"This was the most beautiful night in a long time," she says. "Our guests were crying and couldn't catch their breath."

More breathtaking auroras could appear tonight. NOAA forecasters estimate a 55% chance of geomagnetic storms on Sept. 11-12 as the solar wind continues to blow.
........................
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 11, 2015, 02:36:40 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 12, 2015, 06:11:14 PM
There's a G1 Geomagnetic Storm predicted for the next 24 hours.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 15, 2015, 12:40:30 PM
No geomagnetic storms today. There is a G1 storm (Minor) predicted.
...
 
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 16, 2015, 12:22:53 PM
No geomagnetic storms yet today...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 17, 2015, 12:57:59 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 19, 2015, 01:48:36 PM
No more geomagnetic storms are predicted for today...G1 earlier
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

BRIEF GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A minor geomagnetic broke out during the early hours of Sept. 19th and quickly subsided again. The cause was a fluctuation in the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). The IMF near Earth tipped south, opening a crack in our planet's magnetic defenses against the solar wind. So far no reports of bright auroras have been received, probably because of the brevity of the event.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 21, 2015, 02:20:24 PM
Note: There was a strong G3 geomagnetic storm on the 20th.
Then a R1 Radio Blackout and a G1 storm. G1 is predicted for the next 24 hours. No storm at the present time, 5L20 PM EDT.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/    http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ 

CME STRIKE SPARKS STRONG GEOMAGNETIC STORM: Arriving a full day earlier than expected, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Sept. 20th at approximately 0600 UT. The impact sparked a strong G3-class geomagnetic storm and bright auroras over high-latitude regions of North America and Asia.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 23, 2015, 12:01:31 AM
No geomagnetic storms now and none predicted for the next 24 hours...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 26, 2015, 12:13:40 PM
No Geomagnetic Storms predicted on here -

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 28, 2015, 02:58:52 AM
There was a R1 Radio Blackout...no geomagnetic storm just now. No warnings posted.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 28, 2015, 11:20:15 PM
Yowbarb Note: There was an R2 Radio blackout. M2 solar flares. 0215 AM EDT Update M2 for both 6 hour and 24 hour max, goes-xray-flux
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SOLAR FLARE AND RADIO BLACKOUT: Today, Sept. 28th at 1458 UT, a strong M7-class solar flare erupted in the magnetic canopy of sunspot AR2422. Extreme UV radiation from the flare ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere and caused a brief low-frequency radio blackout over South America and the Atlantic ocean: blackout map. AR2422 has an unstable 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that could erupt again at any moment. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of additional M-class solar flares and a 5% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours.

X-ray Solar Flares
 6-hr max:  M2   0516 UT Sep29
 24-hr:  M2   0516 UT  Sep29
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 0600 UT
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 01, 2015, 12:34:19 AM
There was a R1 (Minor) Radio Blackout in recent hours...

http://www.spaceweather.com/

CO-ROTATING INTERACTION REGION: NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Oct. 2nd when a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. CIRs are transition zones between fast- and slow-moving solar wind streams. Solar wind plasma piles up in these regions, producing shock waves that do a good job of sparking auroras.

Daily Sun: 01 Oct 15

Sunspot AR2422 is beginning to decay, but it still has a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 07, 2015, 01:34:35 PM
G3 Geomagnetic Storms (strong)

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 07, 2015, 06:52:58 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 09, 2015, 01:23:20 PM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm earlier to day...one predicted for the next 24 hours

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 12, 2015, 01:16:52 PM
There was a G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm observed during the past 24 hors. A G1 is expected today...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 18, 2015, 10:26:02 PM
G1 Geomagnetic storm yesterday (October 18th.)

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 28, 2015, 02:09:26 PM
No Geomagnetic Storm warnings at this time.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 03, 2015, 02:48:33 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 03, 2015, 11:42:30 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  0739 UTC November 04, 2015
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 07, 2015, 09:33:41 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-g2-minor-moderate-geomagnetic-storms-progress

G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) Geomagnetic Storms In Progress
.published: Saturday, November 07, 2015 04:40 UTC

The interplanetary shock that arrived at Earth at 06/1825 UTC (1325 EST) resulted in a disturbed solar wind environment. An enhanced magnetic field, coupled with winds speeds approaching 700 km/s have produced G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms at Earth. Aurora viewing might be possible in the extreme northern portion of the US.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 09, 2015, 04:55:00 PM
Note: There was a G1 geomagnetic storm today and another one expected.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 10, 2015, 12:37:25 AM
G1 storms today and more predicted

http://www.spaceweather.com/ >> http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 10, 2015, 01:01:11 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS UNDERWAY: A stream of fast-moving (700 km/s) solar wind is buffeting Earth's magnetic field today, Nov. 10th, and this is causing G2-class geomagnetic storms. Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras after nightfall
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 21, 2015, 02:14:01 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/   http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/goes-xray-flux.gif

MOSTLY QUIET WITH A CHANCE OF FLARES: Solar activity remains low. However, this could change if sunspot AR2454 continues to grow as it has done for the past two days. The active region is beginning to crackle with C-class solar flares, minor explosions that could intensify if the sunspot's expansion continues apace
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 30, 2015, 02:52:32 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/images2015/29nov15/cme_anim2.gif?PHPSESSID=a33ktf3m0pn64vruck9nhkln35

TWO CMEs, ONE MIGHT BE EARTH-DIRECTED: A pair of CMEs--one bright and one faint--billowed away from the sun on Nov. 29th. Click to view a movie from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory:

The bright CME (pictured above) will miss Earth; it came from an explosion on the far side of the sun and is not heading in our direction. The faint one, which appears later in the movie, could be geoeffective. It appears to be associated with a minor eruption of Earth-facing sunspot AR2459. Stay tuned for further analysis about the possible origin and impact of the faint CME. Solar flare alerts: text or voice
.....................................................................................
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 09, 2015, 01:13:56 PM
Yowbarb Note: G1 Watch issued for next coronal hole Dec 10th and 11th 2015 - NOAA

Links: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of geomagnetic storms on Dec. 9th, increasing to 55% on Dec. 10th in response to an incoming solar wind stream
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 15, 2015, 12:50:12 PM
No geomagnetic storms now...were some yesterday...

http://www.spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 20, 2015, 06:47:45 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A G2-class geomagnetic storm is in progress on Dec. 20th as Earth moves through the wake of a CME that struck our planet's magnetic field yesterday. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras. Aurora alerts

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 29, 2015, 04:04:51 PM
Strong G3 storm coming soon...
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storming Likely 30 December
published: Tuesday, December 29, 2015 17:43 UTC

The geomagnetic storming watch for 30 December has been upgraded to a G3 (Strong), with a G1 (Minor) storming watch still in effect for 31 December. These watches are in response to consistent WSA-Enlil modeling results and SWPC forecasters' determination that a coronal mass ejection (CME) impact is likely just after mid-UTC day on 30 December with residual CME effects continuing into 31 December. The CME impact may cause a sudden impulse geomagnetic response at Earth, likely resulting in the G3 conditions. The CME was associated with a long-duration M1 flare (R1-Minor radio blackout) that peaked at 1245 UTC (0745 ET) on 28 December. Keep checking the SWPC website for continued updates.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 29, 2015, 05:03:19 PM
Update

http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 31, 2015, 06:38:23 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

WEAK IMPACT: As expected, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Dec. 31st (00:30 UT). The impact, however, was weak and did not produce a geomagnetic storm. Auroras are still possible in the hours ahead as Earth moves through the CME's turbulent wake, but so far this has not been a significant space weather event.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: enlightenme on December 31, 2015, 09:08:11 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

WEAK IMPACT: As expected, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Dec. 31st (00:30 UT). The impact, however, was weak and did not produce a geomagnetic storm. Auroras are still possible in the hours ahead as Earth moves through the CME's turbulent wake, but so far this has not been a significant space weather event.

And thank heavens for that bit of good news!
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: enlightenme on December 31, 2015, 07:35:18 PM
Space Weather News for Jan. 1, 2016
http://spaceweather.com
FIRST AURORAS OF THE NEW YEAR: A CME strike on New Year's Eve has sparked a moderately strong geomagnetic storm (happening now) and the first auroras of  2016. High-latitude sky watchers are reporting bright auroras in both hemispheres as Earth moves through the strongly magnetized wake of the CME.  NOAA forecasters say there is a 75% chance that the storms will continue through Jan. 1st, subsiding to 45% on Jan. 2nd.  Visit Spaceweather.com for images and updates.

Realtime geomagnetic storm alerts are available from Spaceweathertext.com (text) and Spaceweatherphone.com (voice).

 Aurora
Taken by Stuart Walker on December 31, 2015 @ Glenfarg, Scotland.

Details:
Having photographed a nice camera friendly aurora on Hogmany, our neighbours let off some fireworks for the New Year. They were modest compared to the organised display in Edinburgh but looked great with the background of the ongoing aurora.

http://spaceweathergallery.com/full_image.php?image_name=Stuart-Walker-SWP_160101_1583_1451609155.jpg&PHPSESSID=f3qpsi5agms7lmvsp2b91bf696

http://www.spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 01, 2016, 02:18:27 AM
Good post. :)
So we did end up having a G2 storm...
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 04, 2016, 08:09:05 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (Minor) Watch issued for 6 January 2016
published:   Tuesday, January 05, 2016 01:06 UTC   

A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) is expected to become geoeffective with Earth late on 6 January, 2016, and the geomagnetic resp
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 10, 2016, 11:20:15 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (Minor) Watch issued for 12 January 2016
 published:   Saturday, January 09, 2016 21:27 UTC   

A G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm watch has been issued for 12 January (UTC day) due to a recurrent, negative polarity, coronal hole high speed stream
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 12, 2016, 02:01:37 PM
I meant to post this late Sunday night...
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

THE STORM STARTED EARLY: We were expecting a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) to hit Earth's magnetic field on Jan. 12th. It might have arrived a day early. "Here in Inari, Finland, strong auroras appeared on Jan. 11th," reports Rayann Elzein, who photographed a magnificent green outburst over the snowy Lapland:

Auroras
Taken by Rayann Elzein on January 11, 2016 @ Inari, Lapland, Finland

http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=121757&PHPSESSID=td915artnitn51lkajf80ba163
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 21, 2016, 09:44:58 PM
G2 Geomagnetic level storm recently. G1 (minor) predicted.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 02, 2016, 09:56:48 PM
Yowbarb Note: There was a G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm recently. Conditions are unsettled and another G1 is expected in the next 24 hours.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 16, 2016, 07:39:07 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM IN PROGRESS: Earth is entering a stream of high-speed solar wind, and this is causing G1-class geomagetic storms around the Arctic Circle on Feb. 16th. This is not the CME we have been waiting for since Valentine's Day. Instead, the solar wind is flowing from a coronal hole on the sun

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 04, 2016, 03:19:07 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on March 12, 2016, 05:19:46 PM

The “Lame Stream Media” is FINALLY waking up to how close we can back in 2012 and what it might have meant to planet earth (not just us “tinfoil hat conspiracy types””):


Near Miss: The Solar Superstorm of July 2012

http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2014/23jul_superstorm/


July 23, 2014: If an asteroid big enough to knock modern civilization back to the 18th century appeared out of deep space and buzzed the Earth-Moon system, the near-miss would be instant worldwide headline news.

Two years ago, Earth experienced a close shave just as perilous, but most newspapers didn't mention it. The "impactor" was an extreme solar storm, the most powerful in as much as 150+ years.

"If it had hit, we would still be picking up the pieces," says Daniel Baker of the University of Colorado…

Baker, along with colleagues from NASA and other universities, published a seminal study of the storm in the December 2013 issue of the journal Space Weather.  Their paper, entitled "A major solar eruptive event in July 2012," describes how a powerful coronal mass ejection (CME) tore through Earth orbit on July 23, 2012.  Fortunately Earth wasn't there.  Instead, the storm cloud hit the STEREO-A spacecraft.

"I have come away from our recent studies more convinced than ever that Earth and its inhabitants were incredibly fortunate that the 2012 eruption happened when it did," says Baker.  "If the eruption had occurred only one week earlier, Earth would have been in the line of fire. :o

Extreme solar storms pose a threat to all forms of high-technology.  They begin with an explosion--a "solar flare"—in the magnetic canopy of a sunspot.  X-rays and extreme UV radiation reach Earth at light speed, ionizing the upper layers of our atmosphere; side-effects of this "solar EMP" include radio blackouts and GPS navigation errors. Minutes to hours later, the energetic particles arrive.  Moving only slightly slower than light itself, electrons and protons accelerated by the blast can electrify satellites and damage their electronics. Then come the CMEs, billion-ton clouds of magnetized plasma that take a day or more to cross the Sun-Earth divide.  Analysts believe that a direct hit by an extreme CME such as the one that missed Earth in July 2012 could cause widespread power blackouts, disabling everything that plugs into a wall socket.  Most people wouldn't even be able to flush their toilet because urban water supplies largely rely on electric pumps.

Before July 2012, when researchers talked about extreme solar storms their touchstone was the iconic Carrington Event of Sept. 1859, named after English astronomer Richard Carrington who actually saw the instigating flare with his own eyes.  In the days that followed his observation, a series of powerful CMEs hit Earth head-on with a potency not felt before or since.  Intense geomagnetic storms ignited Northern Lights as far south as Cuba and caused global telegraph lines to spark, setting fire to some telegraph offices and thus disabling the 'Victorian Internet."
image
A report by the National Academy of Sciences details the consequences of extreme solar storms. More

A similar storm today could have a catastrophic effect. According to a study by the National Academy of Sciences, the total economic impact could exceed $2 trillion or 20 times greater than the costs of a Hurricane Katrina. Multi-ton transformers damaged by such a storm might take years to repair.

"In my view the July 2012 storm was in all respects at least as strong as the 1859 Carrington event," says Baker. "The only difference is, it missed."

In February 2014, physicist Pete Riley of Predictive Science Inc. published a paper in Space Weather entitled "On the probability of occurrence of extreme space weather events."  In it, he analyzed records of solar storms going back 50+ years.  By extrapolating the frequency of ordinary storms to the extreme, he calculated the odds that a Carrington-class storm would hit Earth in the next ten years.

The answer: 12%.

"Initially, I was quite surprised that the odds were so high, but the statistics appear to be correct," says Riley.  "It is a sobering figure


In his study, Riley looked carefully at a parameter called Dst, short for "disturbance – storm time." This is a number calculated from magnetometer readings around the equator. Essentially, it measures how hard Earth's magnetic field shakes when a CME hits. The more negative Dst becomes, the worse the storm.  Ordinary geomagnetic storms, which produce Northern Lights around the Arctic Circle, but otherwise do no harm, register Dst=-50 nT (nanoTesla).  The worst geomagnetic storm of the Space Age, which knocked out power across Quebec in March 1989, registered Dst=-600 nT. Modern estimates of Dst for the Carrington Event itself range from -800 nT to a staggering -1750 nT.

In their Dec. 2013 paper, Baker et al. estimated Dst for the July 2012 storm. "If that CME had hit Earth, the resulting geomagnetic storm would have registered a Dst of -1200, comparable to the Carrington Event and twice as bad as the March 1989 Quebec blackout."

The reason researchers know so much about the July 2012 storm is because, out of all the spacecraft in the solar system it could have hit, it did hit a solar observatory.  STEREO-A is almost ideally equipped to measure the parameters of such an event.

If Riley's work holds true, there is a 12% chance we will learn a lot more about extreme solar storms in the next 10 years—when one actually strikes Earth.

Says Baker, "we need to be prepared."


Stay safe,
Max.

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on March 12, 2016, 05:38:08 PM
I didn't see this website mentioned its a GREAT resource: ;D

http://www.spaceweathernews.com

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 13, 2016, 03:11:23 AM
I didn't see this website mentioned its a GREAT resource: ;D

http://www.spaceweathernews.com

Max.

max, thanks for posting. Often I post a solar update during the day and it is from Spaceweather.com.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 13, 2016, 03:28:35 AM
At the moment no Geomagnetic Storms going on. This should change the the 16th.
...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
...................................................................................................
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CO-ROTATING INTERACTION REGION: NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on March 16th when a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. CIRs are transition zones between slow- and fast-moving solar wind streams. Solar wind plasma piles up in these regions, producing density gradients and shock waves that do a good job of sparking auroras
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 13, 2016, 11:12:49 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Brief Outage Expected on 3/10 and 3/14

published: Saturday, March 12, 2016 13:05 UTC

On Thursday, March 10, 2016, SWPC will transfer its operations to its off-site backup system to support building maintenance.  Users will see a brief outage while we transition to our backup system and then again when we transition back to Boulder on Monday, March 14, 2016.  The transition to our backup system is currently scheduled to occur at 1600 UTC (9:00 am MST) on March 10 and the transition back will occur at 1500 UTC (9:00 MDT) on March 14
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 17, 2016, 03:51:14 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storming Observed
 published:   Thursday, March 17, 2016 06:17 UTC   

G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels were observed at 16/2246 UTC (6:46 PM Eastern), at 17/0222 UTC (10:22 PM Eastern), and again at 17/0549 UTC (1:49 AM Eastern) due to continued coronal hole high-speed stream influence. There is a G1 Warning valid until 17/0900 UTC (5:00 AM Eastern) as activity is expected to persist overnight in the North American night time sector.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 02, 2016, 07:49:06 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

WEEKEND STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of G2-class geomagnetic storms on April 2nd when a CIR is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. CIRs (co-rotating interaction regions) are transition zones between fast- and slow-moving solar wind streams. Density gradients and shock waves inside CIRs often do a good job sparking auroras

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   G2 predicted
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 02, 2016, 06:44:02 PM
G2 Geomagnetic  Storm already happened. A G1 is predicted for sometime today.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 12, 2016, 06:23:29 PM
G1 storms today, ongoing and more to come

http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 15, 2016, 12:26:23 AM
G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm earlier today (Thursday.)

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 15, 2016, 06:47:15 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SUBSIDING STORM: Earth's magnetic field is quieting as the effects of yesterday's glancing CME impact subside.   NOAA has downgraded the odds of a geomagnetic storm to 45% today and only 25% tomorrow.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 21, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-minor-geomagnetic-storms-likely-23-april-2016

A WATCH for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms has been issued for 23 April 2016 due to the anticipated influence of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 27, 2016, 11:00:56 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SOLAR SECTOR BOUNDARY CROSSING (UPDATED): On April 29th or 30th, Earth will cross a fold in the heliospheric current sheet--a vast wavy structure in interplanetary space separating regions of opposite magnetic polarity. This is called a "solar sector boundary crossing," and it could trigger geomagnetic activity around Earth's poles. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms on April 29th.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
G1 (Minor) Watch Issued for 30 April, 2016
published:   Wednesday, April 27, 2016 17:00 UTC   

A G1 Minor geomagnetic storm watch has been issued for the 30 April, 2016 UTC day.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 28, 2016, 11:03:35 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (Minor) Watch Issued for 30 April, 2016
 published:   Wednesday, April 27, 2016 17:00 UTC   


A G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm watch has been issued for the 30 April, 2016 UTC day
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 02, 2016, 01:30:25 AM
G2 Geomagnetic Storm in the past 24 hours... A G1 is predicted...
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 03, 2016, 08:40:58 AM
G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm now
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 10, 2016, 12:33:00 AM
There was a G3 Geomagnetic Storm on May 8th.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  G1 expected May 10, 2016
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SUBSIDING GEOMAGNETIC STORM: Earth's magnetic field is quieting today following a strong geomagnetic storm on May 8th that took forecasters by surprise. The G3-class event sparked bright auroras around both poles, parts of four continents, and more than a half a dozen US states.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 13, 2016, 06:03:13 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

GEOMAGNETIC FORECAST: Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain low for the rest of the week. The next storms are possible on May 16th when Earth enters a stream of solar wind flowing from a coronal hole on the sun. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras at that time.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 16, 2016, 12:14:38 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 17, 2016, 01:16:25 PM
No Geomagnetic Storm predicted for today - G1 predicted for May 20, 2016
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 19, 2016, 10:39:00 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORMS POSSIBLE THIS WEEK: NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% to 60% chance of minor G1-class geomagnetic storms on May 19-20 when Earth enters a stream of solar wind flowing from a coronal hole on the sun. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, especially in the southern hemisphere where darkening autumn skies favor visibility
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 20, 2016, 11:43:45 PM
No Geomagnetic Storms predicted

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.spaceweather.com/

WEAK IMPACT, NO STORMS: A co-rotating interaction region (CIR) swept past Earth on May 20th, as expected, but it did not connect well to our planet's magnetic field. As a result, the predicted geomagnetic storm did not materialize. Earth's magnetic field will likely remain calm for the rest of the weekend
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 29, 2016, 02:14:22 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS ON MEMORIAL DAY: NOAA forecasters estimate a 55% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms on May 30th when Earth enters a high-speed stream solar wind flowing from a coronal hole...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 01, 2016, 06:20:40 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 05, 2016, 01:42:59 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

UPDATE: G2 (Moderate) Watch in Effect for 4 and 5 June UTC day
 published:   Thursday, June 02, 2016 18:03 UTC   


A G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm watch is in effect for the 4 and 5 June, 2016 UTC-day.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 05, 2016, 11:25:05 PM
There was a G2 Geomagnetic Storm today about an hour ago (about 0122 AM EDT.)
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G2 (Moderate) Storm Levels Observed at 0522 UTC on 06 June 2016

published:   Monday, June 06, 2016 05:42 UTC   


Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 07, 2016, 12:02:37 PM
No Geomagnetic Storms now.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 28, 2016, 08:41:04 PM
No Geomagnetic Storms are forecast now. The far side of the sun is far more active.
Explosion on the far side on Saturday.
...
"..on Saturday something exploded there, hurling a cloud of plasma over the sun's eastern limb. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded a movie of the high-flying debris."

...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://spaceweather.com/   

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 07, 2016, 11:19:50 PM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm earlier...more to come.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (Minor) Watch in effect for the 7 and 8 July UTC days
published: Wednesday, July 06, 2016 23:12 UTC
A G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm watch is now in effect for the 7 July and 8 July UTC-days.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 10, 2016, 09:54:16 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS: NOAA forecasters estimate a 45% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms on July 11th as Earth passes through a high-speed stream of solar wind. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, especially in the southern hemisphere where dark winter skies favor visibility.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (Minor) Watch in effect for 11 July
published: Sunday, July 10, 2016 20:21 UTC
A G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm watch is now in effect for 11 July.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 15, 2016, 09:20:19 PM
There's no Geomagnetic Storm Watches now.
...................................................................................
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 04, 2016, 10:19:54 AM
The sun is blank and there are no Geomagnetic Storm Watches posted now but the conditions are Unsettled.
...
http://spaceweather.com/   Spaceweather site

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 08, 2016, 01:03:49 AM
Note: G1 (minor geomagnetic storm) already happened
...
http://spaceweather.com/  http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

MINOR STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 55% chance of minor G1-class geomagnetic storms on Aug. 8th when a high-speed stream of solar wind is expected to contact Earth's magnetic field.  High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 08, 2016, 01:52:39 PM
G1 Minor Geomagnetic Storm in effect Aug 08, 2016 NOAA

http://spaceweather.com/

www.swpc.noaa.go

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-minor-geomagnetic-storm-watch-issued-08-august-2016

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 24, 2016, 02:01:44 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 27, 2016, 10:17:54 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued for 29 August
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 01, 2016, 07:23:35 AM
There was a G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm today and another one is predicted

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 02, 2016, 02:25:19 PM
Yowbarb Note: There were G1 and a G2 Geomagnetic Storms today. No more are predicted.
...
http://spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A solar wind stream is buffeting Earth's magnetic field on Sept. 2nd, causing G1- to G2-class geomagnetic storms
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 03, 2016, 12:19:16 AM
Yowbarb Note: G2 Geomagnetic Storm observed, another one predicted for Sept 03.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 20, 2016, 10:08:57 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  A G1 Geomagnetic Storm expected today
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 25, 2016, 12:19:15 AM
A G1 (minor) Geomagnetic Storm and another one expected within 24 hours...

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 27, 2016, 06:33:57 PM
Yowbarb Note: Screen shot below Sept 27, 2016 G2 (Moderate) Geomagnetic Storm and one more expected
...
http://spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM IN PROGRESS: Arriving earlier than expected, a stream of high-speed solar wind has engulfed Earth's magnetic field on Sept. 27th.  The result was a G2-class geomagnetic storm.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 28, 2016, 09:02:18 PM
G2 Moderate Geomagnetic Storm Watch is in effect Sept 28-30, 2016
...
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 30, 2016, 12:42:26 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/day-three-g1-g2-minor-moderate-geomagnetic-storms

DAY THREE OF G1-G2 (MINOR-MODERATE) GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 02, 2016, 03:15:00 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Geomagnetic Activity Winds Down
published: Sunday, October 02, 2016 05:15 UTC
Since early on 27 September, Earth's geomagnetic field has been influenced by a large, recurrent, positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream(CH HSS). Conditions on 27-29 September generally ranged from active to minor storm (G1-Minor) levels with isolated major storm (G2-Moderate) levels. 30 September-01 October observed unsettled to active conditions with isolated G1 levels. The forecast for 02-04 October is for predominately quiet to unsettled conditions with some isolated active periods as CH HSS effects wane. 
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 04, 2016, 10:30:09 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

POLAR MAGNETIC STORMS: Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are underway on Oct. 4th as Earth slowly exits a high-speed stream of solar wind. Polar sky watchers should remain alert for auroras

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/    24-Hour Observed Maximums -  G1
                                                 Predicted 2016-10-04 UTC      - G1
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 12, 2016, 12:32:45 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

EARTH-DIRECTED CME: A magnetic filament in the sun's northern hemisphere erupted on Oct. 8th, hurling a faint CME (movie) into space. NOAA analysts say the storm cloud could deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 13th. At this time of year, even a minor CME impact can spark bright polar auroras, so stay tuned.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-minor-geomagnetic-storm-watch-extended-include-13-14-october
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 12, 2016, 09:07:59 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

WEAK IMPACT. WHAT'S NEXT? Arriving a full day earlier than expected, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 12th. The impact was weak and it did not immediately cause a geomagnetic storm. NOAA forecasts say G1-class storms are still possible, however, on Oct. 13th and 14th as Earth passes through the CME's magnetized wake.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   

G1 (MINOR) WATCH FOR 13 OCT, UPGRADE TO G2 (MODERATE) WATCH FOR 14 OCT
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on October 13, 2016, 02:48:13 AM
It's never been more important to keep an eye on space weather!!

http://phys.org/news/2016-10-important-eye-space-weather.html

As technology becomes increasingly vital in our day-to-day lives, we are more susceptible to "space weather". What begins with dark spots on the Sun's surface, and magnetic field disruptions in the Sun's atmosphere, can result in widespread technological disturbance. With our increasing reliance on telecommunications and other technologies, monitoring what happens in space has never been more important.

During a solar flare, pulses of electromagnetic radiation are emitted into space, showering the solar system with intense radio waves, X-rays and ultraviolet radiation. At times, these flares are accompanied by solar material, in what is called a "coronal mass ejection", or CME. These disturbances contribute to the variability in the near-Earth space environment.

A lot of the technology on which we depend is susceptible to these disturbances. Satellites use radio waves to communicate, and thus are vulnerable to radio signal disruption, but so are more Earth-bound technologies – CMEs have been linked to the failure of some power grids and could impact high-speed railways.

Disturbing history
The first documented link between a CME and technology comes from 1841, when a telegraph system was affected by strong magnetic field fluctuations during a magnetic storm. "On the 18th of October, 1841, a very intense magnetic disturbance was recorded," the journal Nature reported. The disturbance caused a train to be delayed by 16 minutes as "it was impossible to ascertain if the line was clear at Starcross".
The superintendent of Exeter station reported the next morning that "someone was playing tricks with the instruments, and would not let them work", demonstrating how innocuous such events may appear. This event was less than 20 years before the largest known space weather event, the infamous Carrington geomagnetic storm in 1859, during which northern auroras were seen as far south as El Salvador in Central America.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 16, 2016, 12:22:03 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

WEEKEND AURORA WATCH: NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms on Oct. 16th as Earth enters a stream of fast-moving solar wind.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ 

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm is predicted for today Oct 16, 2016
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 22, 2016, 01:02:57 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g2-moderate-geomagnetic-storm-watch-issued-24-oct-2016

G2 (MODERATE) GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR 24 OCT 2016

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 24, 2016, 12:35:01 PM
G2 Geomagnetic Storm Watch, 1929 UTC 24 Oct 2016

http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on October 25, 2016, 10:59:12 AM
http://spaceweathernews.com

(Oct 25 1513UTC) Level 3 storm conditions have set in. All sector risks are up. Space weather alert is high.

When storm levels reach level 3 we should expect to see airline comm failures and many electrical/transformer fires world wide!

Stay alert..

Max.

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 26, 2016, 03:52:50 AM
G2 Geomagnetic Storm Watch for October 26, 2016
...
http://spaceweather.com/ 

There was one episode of strong storming, which registered G3 on NOAA scales of geomagnetic activity, and many hours of lesser disturbances.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   

G2 (MODERATE) GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR 26 OCT 2016
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on October 26, 2016, 12:31:26 PM
LATEST SOLAR NEWS:
(Oct 26 1128UTC) Solar wind speed peaked out over 1100km/s! The storm will be reverberating most of today. Solar flaring expected to remain calm.

http://spaceweathernews.com/

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 26, 2016, 10:54:08 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index

The K-index, and by extension the Planetary K-index, are used to characterize the magnitude of geomagnetic storms. Kp is an excellent indicator of disturbances in the Earth's magnetic field and is used by SWPC to decide whether geomagnetic alerts and warnings need to be issued for users who are affected by these disturbances.

The principal users affected by geomagnetic storms are the electrical power grid, spacecraft operations, users of radio signals that reflect off of or pass through the ionosphere, and observers of the aurora.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 04, 2016, 12:55:58 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS THIS WEEKEND: NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of minor geomagnetic storms on Nov. 4th when a solar wind stream is expected to envelope Earth's magnetic field. This is not a major stream of solar wind, like the one that sparked bright lights during the last week of October. Nevertheless, Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras on Friday and Saturday nights.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on November 06, 2016, 11:31:10 AM
This is just the beginning:

Solar flare radiation burst ‘cracked’ Earth’s magnetic field, caused radio blackouts

https://www.rt.com/viral/365328-magnetic-field-cracked-solar/

The magnetic field that protects Earth from deadly cosmic radiation may be more vulnerable than previously thought. A crack in the shield caused by a solar flare which exposed the planet to a bombardment of radiation has been detected.

Researchers from the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research in India made the discovery when analyzing a galactic cosmic ray burst that caused radio blackouts across North and South America and a supercharged aurora borealis in 2015.

The cosmic ray source was a giant solar plasma cloud that travelled 40 hours from our sun to reach Earth, where the researchers believe it caused a transient “weakening of Earth’s magnetic shield”, according to their findings published in the journal Physical Review Letters.

The sun’s flare was so intense the team claim it would have shrunk the magnetic field from 11 times the radius of Earth to four times its radius before it eased, allowing the shield to recover.

The team were optimistic the knowledge gained would have positive results though, claiming it could “hold clues for a better understanding of future superstorms that could cripple modern technological infrastructure on Earth, and endanger the lives of the astronauts in space.”

Too little and way too late…

Max

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on November 07, 2016, 01:09:25 PM
Should make for a VERY interesting election day!

Coincidence? Massive Solar Event Scheduled for Election Night… And Potential Impending Disaster

http://www.shtfplan.com/emergency-preparedness/coincidence-massive-solar-event-scheduled-for-election-night-and-potential-impending-disaster_11072016

Just Weeks After Obama’s Executive Order on Catastrophic Space Weather Events, a Coronal Mass Ejection Is Set to Hit on Election Day

by Melissa Dykes

This has already been the craziest election in the history of the country, with the most overt corruption and fraud the American people have likely ever seen.

Now, on top of everything else that’s scheduled to go down tomorrow, it is being projected that a powerful coronal mass ejection (CME) is set to hit Earth tomorrow, and not just hit earth but a direct hit is in our forecast.

According to Space Weather Live, “A coronal mass ejection (or CME) is a giant cloud of solar plasma drenched with magnetic field lines that are blown away from the Sun during strong, long-duration solar flares and filament eruptions.”

What this means is the very real potential for strong geomagnetic storms here on Earth. Potential storms from CMEs like this have been known to cause everything from lost satellite control to radio and television interference to power grid disruption and failure.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 07, 2016, 05:04:38 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  only a G1 expected... as far as I can see on NOAA
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 11, 2016, 02:21:01 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 11, 2016, 10:07:09 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 19, 2016, 01:49:04 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF MINOR STORMS ON NOV. 19TH: A minor solar wind stream is expected to buffet Earth's magnetic field
on Nov. 19th. This could cause geomagnetic activity and auroras around the Arctic Circle

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/gi-minor-geomagnetic-storm-watch-issued-22-november

GI (MINOR) GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR 22 NOVEMBER
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 23, 2016, 01:01:16 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-minor-geomagnetic-storm-watch-effect-22-24-november

G1 (MINOR) GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR 22-24 NOVEMBER
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 29, 2016, 08:56:29 PM
http://spaceweather.com/  Spaceweather.com

http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/goes-xray-flux.gif    M1 solar flare

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on December 06, 2016, 03:05:46 AM
VERY strange story indeed!

What Is Going on With the Sun? Gruesome Sunburns Flooding Hospitals! Why?

http://beforeitsnews.com/health/2016/12/what-is-going-on-with-the-sun-gruesome-sunburns-flooding-hospitals-why-2690895.html

No one is talking about the Sun being hotter. Or are they? What does it mean to us that the Sun is hotter? It means that we are being microwaved from the inside out, sunburns happen quicker and are more intense. The Sun is white hot – you have noticed haven’t you? Here is some scientific evidence that proves the Sun is changing and we all should heed the warning. Stay out of the Sun. Keep your children out of the Sun.

Gruesome Sunburns Flooding Hospitals! Why?

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 08, 2016, 12:17:09 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/    NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 18, 2016, 01:59:14 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

Geomagnetic storming is most likely on Dec. 21st and 22nd with peak storm levels near G2.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 21, 2016, 11:20:47 AM
G2 Geomagnetic Storm, G1 today
...
SOLSTICE AURORAS: As predicted, Earth is entering a stream of high speed solar wind on Dec. 21st

http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 26, 2016, 08:39:43 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-minor-storm-conditions-observed-260204-utc

G1 (MINOR) STORM CONDITIONS OBSERVED AT 26/0204 UTC
published: Monday, December 26, 2016 04:56 UTC
G1 (Minor) storm conditions were reached at 26/0204 UTC after several days of quiet to active conditions under the influence of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream. The G1 (Minor) Warning is valid until 26/0900 UTC.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on December 28, 2016, 02:49:17 PM
Should be a GREAT show on C2C tonight be sure to “tune in” !

Nuclear Disasters/ Solar Storms & Ancient Civilizations

http://www.coasttocoastam.com/show/2016/12/28


Nuclear Disasters/ Solar Storms & Ancient Civilizations

First Half: For 30 years Scott Portzline has researched the issue of sabotage and terrorism of nuclear power plants. His research has been recognized by the US Department of Energy, the Department of Homeland Security and various military branches. He will discuss various nuclear disasters and how they are still poisoning the planet.

Second Half: Tenured faculty member at Boston University, Robert M. Schoch, Ph.D., will discuss how coronal mass ejections from the Sun unleashed electrical/plasma discharges upon Earth and triggered volcanic activity, earthquakes, fires, and massive floods as glaciers melted, and an ancient advanced civilization predating ancient Egypt, Sumeria, and Greece was destroyed.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 29, 2016, 01:04:53 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-minor-geomagnetic-storm-watch-issued-31-dec

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued for 31 Dec
published: Wednesday, December 28, 2016 21:19 UTC

A G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Watch has been issued for 31 Dec 16 (UTC Day) due to the anticipated arrival of an isolated, positive-polarity CH HSS. [Coronal Hole High Speed Stream]
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 04, 2017, 12:43:05 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on January 12, 2017, 12:57:07 PM
NASA Reveals Vast Hole in the Sun That Could “Cripple Power Supplies”

http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/nasa-reveals-vast-hole-in-the-sun-that-could-cripple-power-supplies_01122017

NASA has released a graphic showing a rip in the fabric of the sun, so to speak, that is leaking solar radiation through a hole in its surface.

This is sending a bombardment of particles towards earth that could interfere with the electric grid and disrupt any technologies that are electromagnetic based.

The experts aren’t expecting a major storm this time – with only a G2 warning issued for the current onset of unusual solar activity. This will be enough only to heighten the aurora borealis effects and test the real world resilience of satellites and other sensitive equipment.

But future solar eruptions – which could become more volatile if the sun is experiencing drastic changes or anomalies – could be much worse. If a G4 or G5 level solar storm or other space weather event impacts earth, there could definitely be a lights out scenario where supplies and communications reach a critical level, while desperation and unrest set in:

Military and national security infrastructure has already taken precautions. Specialized cement has been invented and commercialized to shield both new and existing buildings from the harm that would be caused by an EMP event or similar disruption via the electromagnetic spectrum.

Man has adapted rapidly, and utilized technological progress over the many frequencies of the known spectrum. But nature still holds its power over this same band of frequencies, and can unleash some powerful forces that could potentially knockdown or wipe out human-made devices. Meanwhile, governments and rogue players also hold the power to initiate an EMP attack – it remains the most realistic, widespread scenario for a major disaster outside of economic collapse or a truly catastrophic earthquake or volcano.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 29, 2017, 06:11:45 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/     

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g1-minor-geomagnetic-storm-watch-issued-31-jan

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued for 31 Jan, 2017 (UTC day) due the anticipated arrival of a co-rotating interaction region in advance of a recurrent, negative polarity coronal hole high-speed stream.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 06, 2017, 10:41:47 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS THIS WEEK:
NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of polar magnetic storms on Feb. 7th when Earth crosses through a fold in the heliospheric current sheet-- [ http://wso.stanford.edu/gifs/HCS.html  ] a giant rippling system of electrical currents in space. Not long after the crossing, perhaps on Feb. 8th, a stream of solar wind is expected to hit our planet's magnetic field. The source of the stream is a hole in the sun's atmosphere. The combination of these two events will likely spark bright Arctic auroras mid-week.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 13, 2017, 05:58:32 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF STORMS THIS WEEK: NOAA forecasters say there is a 40% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Feb. 15th when a solar wind stream hits Earth's magnetic field. The stream is flowing from a canyon-shaped hole in the sun's atmosphere.  Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras mid-week
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 14, 2017, 10:45:27 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

CO-ROTATING INTERACTION REGION: NOAA forecasters say there is a 45% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Feb. 15th when a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. CIRs are transition zones between slow- and fast-moving solar wind streams.  The often contain strong magnetic fields and density gradients that do a good job sparking auroras. A solar wind stream following the CIR could keep the Arctic Circle glowing for the rest of the week.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on March 12, 2017, 03:04:21 AM
The “Powers at Be” are taking extreme measures with technology to give themselves advanced warning to “get out of Dodge” in time…


HOLIDAY ON THE SUN Nasa to launch Solar Probe Plus mission to the surface of the SUN to protect Earth (exactly who are they trying to protect??) from ‘huge solar event’

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2964716/nasa-to-launch-solar-probe-plus-mission-to-the-surface-of-the-sun-to-protect-earth-from-huge-solar-event/

Massive solar flares have the potential to shut down power grids on Earth and wreak havoc on navigation systems

The Solar Plus Probe will come within four million miles of the sun’s surface, facing heat and radiation like no spacecraft has endured before.

Scientists hope it will unlock the mysteries of the Sun’s corona, the massive hole in the heart of the star.

Experts know that the unstable corona is believed to be cooler than the Sun’s atmosphere, but have no idea why.

And it is a prime spot for producing potentially devastating solar wind, flares and mass “ejections” that can reach Earth’s atmosphere.

Scientists have spent 50 years trying to understand the impact freak space-weather events could have on our planet, but believe this mission could help us understand why they happen and help prepare for possible threats.

One recent study by the National Academy of Sciences estimated that without advance warning a huge solar event could cause two trillion dollars in damage in the US alone, and the eastern seaboard of the US could be without power for a year.

Nasa said: “In order to unlock the mysteries of the corona, but also to protect a society that is increasingly dependent on technology from the threats of space weather, we will send Solar Probe Plus to touch the Sun.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 26, 2017, 11:15:46 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 27, 2017, 01:17:45 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 01, 2017, 11:16:22 PM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm, April 01, 2017

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

R1 (Minor) Radio Blackout Observed on 01 April 2017 at 2148 UTC
published: Saturday, April 01, 2017 22:33 UTC
An R1 (Minor) Radio Blackout was observed on 01 April 2017 at 2148 UTC (5:48 PM ET).
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 02, 2017, 03:47:00 AM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

R2 (MODERATE) RADIO BLACKOUT

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/forecast-discussion


Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on April 02, 2017, 03:34:09 PM
Lots of sunspots on the disk ready to produce flairs..

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 02, 2017, 06:44:50 PM
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/r2-moderate-radio-blackouts-observed-02-april-2017

R2 (MODERATE) RADIO BLACKOUTS OBSERVED - 02 APRIL 2017

published: Sunday, April 02, 2017 21:26 UTC
Region 2644 produced a pair of R2 (Moderate) radio blackouts at 02/0802 UTC and 02/2033 UTC, respectively, along with multiple R1 (Minor) radio blackouts over the past 24 hours.  Multiple coronal mass ejections (CMEs) associated with the solar flare activity originating from Region 2644 have been observed but are not expected to be earth-directed.     
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 02, 2017, 06:45:28 PM
Lots of sunspots on the disk ready to produce flairs..

Max.

An M5 and an M1 today.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 02, 2017, 07:08:07 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

ONE CME WILL MISS EARTH: On April 1st and 2nd, active sunspot AR2644 propelled two CMEs into space following M4.4 and M5-class solar flares. The first cloud will miss Earth. The second ... stay tuned. NOAA analysts are waiting for more imagery to determine the trajectory of the second cloud
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 03, 2017, 10:15:38 PM
R2 (Moderate) Radio Blackouts.
No Geomagnetic Storms predicted.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://spaceweather.com/

...sunspot AR2644 exploded on April 1st, producing an M4.4-class flare. That was the strongest solar flare of the year--for less than a day. The sunspot topped itself on April 2nd with a pair of M5-class explosions, followed by another M5-flare on April 3rd.

Flashes of extreme ultraviolet radiation, like the one shown [ screen shot, below] have been ionizing Earth's upper atmosphere and altering the normal propagation of radio waves around our planet. There have been at least four significant shortwave radio blackouts; blackout maps: #1, #2, #3, #4. People who might have noticed these blackouts include ham radio operators and mariners using low-frequency rigs for communication at frequencies below 10 MHz.

Update: This series of explosions hurled a number of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) into space. NOAA computer models confirm that none of them will hit Earth.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 04, 2017, 01:19:33 PM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm today at 0414 AM EDT April 04, 2017. More Geomagnetic storms not predicted yet.

http://spaceweather.com/

MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM: Beating low probabilities of magnetic activity, a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm erupted on April 4th, sparking bright auroras around the Arctic Circle.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 06, 2017, 01:50:20 PM
No Geomagnetic Storms predicted today.
...
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 09, 2017, 02:53:12 PM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Conditions Observed
published: Sunday, April 09, 2017 05:34 UTC
G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm conditions were met at 09/0458 UTC (09/00:58 ET) due to the sustained southward Bz component of the interplanetary mag
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 11, 2017, 05:37:40 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

LONG RANGE FORECAST: A hole in the sun's atmosphere that sprayed Earth with solar wind in late March is due to return next week.  NOAA forecasters say there is a chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms on April 22nd intensifying to G2 storms on April 23rd in response to a repeat encounter with the solar wind stream
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 22, 2017, 01:04:01 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/     
SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on April 23, 2017, 03:07:52 AM
Yesterday's Broad Power Outage Likely Caused By Geomagnetic Storm!

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-22/yesterdays-broad-power-outage-likely-caused-geomagnetic-storm

Yesterday, a massive US power grid failure was seen across the entire United States in one simultaneous fashion. San Fransisco, New York, and Los Angeles were the three main areas that were hit the hardest. Each of the areas experienced challenges or shut downs in business commerce. Also, basic infrastructure such as communication networks, mass transportation, and supply chains experienced challenges. To many this seemed apocalyptic with anaylst citing possible cyber attacks amid mounting geopolitical turmoil across the globe. We’re shocked that mainstream media didn’t revive the failing Russian narrative for another round of fake news to confuse the masses. Personally, I don’t think it was a cyber attack or the Russians, but more of a Space Weather Event. :o


Space weather refers to the environmental conditions in Earth’s magnetosphere, ionosphere and thermosphere due to the Sun and the solar wind that can influence the functioning and reliability of spaceborne and ground-based systems and services or endanger property or human health.

Here is PG&E outage map from yesterday’s event. Widespread.

This is the Planetary K-Index, which 5 or greater indicates storm-level geomagnetic activity around earth. The latest space weather data signals a geomagnetic storm rolled in on April 20, 2017. During the elevated K-waves >5, San Fransisco, New York, and Los Angeles experienced power grid failures simultaneously.

Latest Space Weather Warnings

April 22, 2017 @ 08:40 UTC - Geomagnetic Storm Warning (UPDATED)

A moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm is currently in progress thanks to a high speed solar wind stream above 700 km/s. More storming is expected over the next several days as a coronal hole stream rattles our geomagnetic field. Sky watchers at middle to high latitudes should be alert for visible aurora during the next several nights.ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2017 Apr 22 0559 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 – Moderate

Piecing together the puzzle, we understand the sun can unleash space weather that can have profound effects on ground based systems, as well as human health. In a report from NOAA titled: Geomagnetic Storms and the US Power Grid, the paper mentions how the US power grid is highly interconnected and susceptible to damage from geomagnetic storms.

US Power Grid is an interconnected system which may explain why San Fransisco, New York, and Los Angeles all experienced power failures relatively at the same time.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 23, 2017, 10:32:42 PM
Yowbarb Note: The Executive order signed by President Obama is apparently still in effect.
I had posted it a couple times, including when it was a new Order.
Below is a current screen shot from today's NOAA page. I bolded President Obama and the date of the original Order. Underlined that in blue, as well. Pic:
4-24-2017 NOAA Page,  President Obama's 2016 Executive Order To Prepare Nation For  Space Weather Events
...http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/executive-order-prepare-nation-space-weather-events

EXECUTIVE ORDER TO PREPARE NATION FOR SPACE WEATHER EVENTS
published: Thursday, March 09, 2017 17:17 UTC
An Executive Order to coordinate efforts to prepare the nation for space weather events was signed by President Obama on 13 Oct, 2016.  Read the full order at

https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2016/10/13/executive-order-coordinating-efforts-prepare-nation-space-weather-events

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 23, 2017, 10:37:42 PM
October 13, 2017 Executive order by President Obama (Link to this is on today's NOAA page, SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION.)
...
https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2016/10/13/executive-order-coordinating-efforts-prepare-nation-space-weather-events

The White House
Office of the Press Secretary
For Immediate ReleaseOctober 13, 2016
Executive Order -- Coordinating Efforts to Prepare the Nation for Space Weather Events

EXECUTIVE ORDER
- - - - - - -
COORDINATING EFFORTS TO PREPARE
THE NATION FOR SPACE WEATHER EVENTS

By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, and to prepare the Nation for space weather events, it is hereby ordered as follows:

Section 1. Policy. Space weather events, in the form of solar flares, solar energetic particles, and geomagnetic disturbances, occur regularly, some with measurable effects on critical infrastructure systems and technologies, such as the Global Positioning System (GPS), satellite operations and communication, aviation, and the electrical power grid. Extreme space weather events -- those that could significantly degrade critical infrastructure -- could disable large portions of the electrical power grid, resulting in cascading failures that would affect key services such as water supply, healthcare, and transportation. Space weather has the potential to simultaneously affect and disrupt health and safety across entire continents. Successfully preparing for space weather events is an all-of-nation endeavor that requires partnerships across governments, emergency managers, academia, the media, the insurance industry, non-profits, and the private sector.

It is the policy of the United States to prepare for space weather events to minimize the extent of economic loss and human hardship. The Federal Government must have (1) the capability to predict and detect a space weather event, (2) the plans and programs necessary to alert the public and private sectors to enable mitigating actions for an impending space weather event, (3) the protection and mitigation plans, protocols, and standards required to reduce risks to critical infrastructure prior to and during a credible threat, and (4) the ability to respond to and recover from the effects of space weather. Executive departments and agencies (agencies) must coordinate their efforts to prepare for the effects of space weather events.

Sec. 2. Objectives. This order defines agency roles and responsibilities and directs agencies to take specific actions to prepare the Nation for the hazardous effects of space weather. These activities are to be implemented in conjunction with those identified in the 2015 National Space Weather Action Plan (Action Plan) and any subsequent updates. Implementing this order and the Action Plan will require the Federal Government to work across agencies and to develop, as appropriate, enhanced and innovative partnerships with State, tribal, and local governments; academia; non-profits; the private sector; and international partners. These efforts will enhance national preparedness and speed the creation of a space-weather-ready Nation.

Sec. 3. Coordination. (a) The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP), in consultation with the Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism and the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), shall coordinate the development and implementation of Federal Government activities to prepare the Nation for space weather events, including the activities established in section 5 of this order and the recommendations of the National Science and Technology Council (NSTC), established by Executive Order 12881 of November 23, 1993 (Establishment of the National Science and Technology Council).

(b) To ensure accountability for and coordination of research, development, and implementation of activities identified in this order and in the Action Plan, the NSTC shall establish a Space Weather Operations, Research, and Mitigation Subcommittee (Subcommittee). The Subcommittee member agencies shall conduct activities to advance the implementation of this order, to achieve the goals identified in the 2015 National Space Weather Strategy and any subsequent updates, and to coordinate and monitor the implementation of the activities specified in the Action Plan and provide subsequent updates.

Sec. 4. Roles and Responsibilities. To the extent permitted by law, the agencies below shall adopt the following roles and responsibilities, which are key to ensuring enhanced space weather forecasting, situational awareness, space weather preparedness, and continuous Federal Government operations during and after space weather events.

(a) The Secretary of Defense shall ensure the timely provision of operational space weather observations, analyses, forecasts, and other products to support the mission of the Department of Defense and coalition partners, including the provision of alerts and warnings for space weather phenomena that may affect weapons systems, military operations, or the defense of the United States.

(b) The Secretary of the Interior shall support the research, development, deployment, and operation of capabilities that enhance the understanding of variations of the Earth's magnetic field associated with solar-terrestrial interactions.

(c) The Secretary of Commerce shall:

(i) provide timely and accurate operational space weather forecasts, watches, warnings, alerts, and real-time space weather monitoring for the government, civilian, and commercial sectors, exclusive of the responsibilities of the Secretary of Defense; and

(ii) ensure the continuous improvement of operational space weather services, utilizing partnerships, as appropriate, with the research community, including academia and the private sector, and relevant agencies to develop, validate, test, and transition space weather observation platforms and models from research to operations and from operations to research.

(d) The Secretary of Energy shall facilitate the protection and restoration of the reliability of the electrical power grid during a presidentially declared grid security emergency associated with a geomagnetic disturbance pursuant to 16 U.S.C. 824o-1.

(e) The Secretary of Homeland Security shall:

(i) ensure the timely redistribution of space weather alerts and warnings that support national preparedness, continuity of government, and continuity of operations; and

(ii) coordinate response and recovery from the effects of space weather events on critical infrastructure and the broader community.

(f) The Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) shall:

(i) implement and support a national research program to understand the Sun and its interactions with Earth and the solar system to advance space weather modeling and prediction capabilities applicable to space weather forecasting;

(ii) develop and operate space-weather-related research missions, instrument capabilities, and models; and

(iii) support the transition of space weather models and technology from research to operations and from operations to research.

(g) The Director of the National Science Foundation (NSF) shall support fundamental research linked to societal needs for space weather information through investments and partnerships, as appropriate.

(h) The Secretary of State, in consultation with the heads of relevant agencies, shall carry out diplomatic and public diplomacy efforts to strengthen global capacity to respond to space weather events.

(i) The Secretaries of Defense, the Interior, Commerce, Transportation, Energy, and Homeland Security, along with the Administrator of NASA and the Director of NSF, shall work together, consistent with their ongoing activities, to develop models, observation systems, technologies, and approaches that inform and enhance national preparedness for the effects of space weather events, including how space weather events may affect critical infrastructure and change the threat landscape with respect to other hazards.

(j) The heads of all agencies that support National Essential Functions, defined by Presidential Policy Directive 40 (PPD-40) of July 15, 2016 (National Continuity Policy), shall ensure that space weather events are adequately addressed in their all-hazards preparedness planning, including mitigation, response, and recovery, as directed by PPD-8 of March 30, 2011 (National Preparedness).

(k) NSTC member agencies shall coordinate through the NSTC to establish roles and responsibilities beyond those identified in section 4 of this order to enhance space weather preparedness, consistent with each agency's legal authority.

Sec. 5. Implementation. (a) Within 120 days of the date of this order, the Secretary of Energy, in consultation with the Secretary of Homeland Security, shall develop a plan to test and evaluate available devices that mitigate the effects of geomagnetic disturbances on the electrical power grid through the development of a pilot program that deploys such devices, in situ, in the electrical power grid. After the development of the plan, the Secretary shall implement the plan in collaboration with industry. In taking action pursuant to this subsection, the Secretaries of Energy and Homeland Security shall consult with the Chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

(b) Within 120 days of the date of this order, the heads of the sector-specific agencies that oversee the lifeline critical infrastructure functions as defined by the National Infrastructure Protection Plan of 2013 -- including communications, energy, transportation, and water and wastewater systems -- as well as the Nuclear Reactors, Materials, and Waste Sector, shall assess their executive and statutory authority, and limits of that authority, to direct, suspend, or control critical infrastructure operations, functions, and services before, during, and after a space weather event. The heads of each sector-specific agency shall provide a summary of these assessments to the Subcommittee.

(c) Within 90 days of receipt of the assessments ordered in section 5(b) of this order, the Subcommittee shall provide a report on the findings of these assessments with recommendations to the Director of OSTP, the Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism, and the Director of OMB. The assessments may be used to inform the development and implementation of policy establishing authorities and responsibilities for agencies in response to a space weather event.

(d) Within 60 days of the date of this order, the Secretaries of Defense and Commerce, the Administrator of NASA, and the Director of NSF, in collaboration with other agencies as appropriate, shall identify mechanisms for advancing space weather observations, models, and predictions, and for sustaining and transitioning appropriate capabilities from research to operations and operations to research, collaborating with industry and academia to the extent possible.

(e) Within 120 days of the date of this order, the Secretaries of Defense and Commerce shall make historical data from the GPS constellation and other U.S. Government satellites publicly available, in accordance with Executive Order 13642 of May 9, 2013 (Making Open and Machine Readable the New Default for Government Information), to enhance model validation and improvements in space weather forecasting and situational awareness.

(f) Within 120 days of the date of this order, the Secretary of Homeland Security, through the Administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency and in coordination with relevant agencies, shall lead the development of a coordinated Federal operating concept and associated checklist to coordinate Federal assets and activities to respond to notification of, and protect against, impending space weather events. Within 180 days of the publication of the operating concept and checklist, agencies shall develop operational plans documenting their procedures and responsibilities to prepare for, protect against, and mitigate the effects of impending space weather events, in support of the Federal operating concept and compatible with the National Preparedness System described in PPD-8.

Sec. 6. Stakeholder Engagement. The agencies identified in this order shall seek public-private and international collaborations to enhance observation networks, conduct research, develop prediction models and mitigation approaches, enhance community resilience and preparedness, and supply the services necessary to protect life and property and promote economic prosperity, as consistent with law.

Sec. 7. Definitions. As used in this order:

(a) "Prepare" and "preparedness" have the same meaning they have in PPD-8. They refer to the actions taken to plan, organize, equip, train, and exercise to build and sustain the capabilities necessary to prevent, protect against, mitigate the effects of, respond to, and recover from those threats that pose the greatest risk to the security of the Nation. This includes the prediction and notification of space weather events.

(b) "Space weather" means variations in the space environment between the Sun and Earth (and throughout the solar system) that can affect technologies in space and on Earth. The primary types of space weather events are solar flares, solar energetic particles, and geomagnetic disturbances.

(c) "Solar flare" means a brief eruption of intense energy on or near the Sun's surface that is typically associated with sunspots.

(d) "Solar energetic particles" means ions and electrons ejected from the Sun that are typically associated with solar eruptions.

(e) "Geomagnetic disturbance" means a temporary disturbance of Earth's magnetic field resulting from solar activity.

(f) "Critical infrastructure" has the meaning provided in section 1016(e) of the USA Patriot Act of 2001 (42 U.S.C. 5195c(e)), namely systems and assets, whether physical or virtual, so vital to the United States that the incapacity or destruction of such systems and assets would have a debilitating impact on security, national economic security, national public health or safety, or any combination of those matters.

(g) "Sector-Specific Agency" means the agencies designated under PPD-21 of February 12, 2013 (Critical Infrastructure Security and Resilience), or any successor directive, to be responsible for providing institutional knowledge and specialized expertise as well as leading, facilitating, or supporting the security and resilience programs and associated activities of its designated critical infrastructure sector in the all-hazards environment. Sec. 8. General Provisions.

(a) Nothing in this order shall be construed to impair or otherwise affect:

(i) the authority granted by law to an agency, or the head thereof; or (ii) the functions of the Director of OMB relating to budgetary, administrative, or legislative proposals.

(b) This order shall be implemented consistent with applicable law and subject to the availability of appropriations.

(c) This order is not intended to, and does not, create any right or benefit, substantive or procedural, enforceable at law or in equity by any party against the United States, its departments, agencies, or entities, its officers, employees, or agents, or any other person.


BARACK OBAMA


THE WHITE HOUSE,
October 13, 2016.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 23, 2017, 10:44:10 PM
Yowbarb Note: At the link, posted on the NOAA page today, you can read in-depth the planning and preparation regarding space weather and other threats... Any further discussion on it it should probably go into the Homeland Security Topics in the Member-Only section. Bottom of page...

https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2016/10/13/executive-order-coordinating-efforts-prepare-nation-space-weather-events

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 06, 2017, 06:53:35 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

CME IMPACT POSSIBLE ON MAY 10TH: On May the 4th, unstable magnetic fields in the sun's atmosphere shifted and hurled a CME into space. The cloud's velocity was relatively low; indeed, it appears that it will take 6 whole days to cross the sun-Earth divide. NOAA forecasters expect it to arrive on May 10th. Polar geomagnetic activity is therefore possible next week
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 27, 2017, 06:47:19 AM
Yowbarb Note: No Geomagnetic Storm warnings yet.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://spaceweather.com/

WAITING FOR THE CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) that left the sun on May 23rd could deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field later today. So far, however, there is no sign of the lopsided cloud. A miss is just as likely as a hit. Stay tuned.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on May 28, 2017, 03:52:49 AM
Large space weather (Level 7) storm in progress causing outages world wide..

http://spaceweathernews.com/

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 15, 2017, 09:33:48 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: Spewing a stream of solar wind as fast as 700 km/s (1.6 million mph), a hole in the sun's atmosphere is turning toward Earth. Forecasters expect the stream to reach our planet on June 15th or 16th with a 40% chance of minor G1-class geomagnetic storms when it arrives.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  G1 Geomagnetic Storm predicted

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Impacts
close
Power systems: Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft operations: Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Other systems: Migratory animals are affected at this and higher levels; aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 23, 2017, 11:55:15 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS TODAY: NOAA forecasters say that a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) might brush against Earth's magnetic field on June 23rd. CIRs are transition zones between slow- and fast-moving streams of solar wind. They contain enhanced magnetic fields and plasma density gradients that sometimes spark geomagnetic storms when they reach Earth. Chance of storms today: 20%
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 06, 2017, 10:30:36 PM
G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch for July 09, 2017
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 WATCH FOR 9 JULY UTC-DAY
published: Thursday, July 06, 2017 20:55 UTC
A G1 (Minor) storm watch is in effect for the 9 July, 2017 UTC-day due to effects from an anticipated increase in solar wind speed associated with the onset of an isolated, positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Keep checking our SWPC webpage for the latest information and forecast updates.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on July 08, 2017, 06:22:15 AM
I think they are being “overly optimistic” here ..

Secret FEMA Report Warns Of Major Solar Storms: “Significant Power Grid Collapses May Occur… Could Require 4 to 10 Years To Fully Restore”


http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/secret-fema-report-warns-of-major-solar-storms-significant-power-grid-collapses-may-occur-could-require-4-to-10-years-to-fully-restore_07072017

FEMA: ‘The Threat Is Real’ – Unpublished Internal Report Warns 4-10 Years Without Electricity After Major Solar Storm

An unpublished internal FEMA report has finally been obtained via an FOIA (Freedom of Information Act) request, which highlights the extent of damage a major solar storm, what they call the “100 year geomagnetic storm,” would do to critical infrastructure in the U.S., including “Significant power grid collapses,” which “could require 4-10 years to fully restore.”

The internal “for official use only” (Why didn't they want to publish this??) document originated in 2010, and in February 2016, was requested by governmentattic.org and was released to the organization on May 24, 2017, according to the 70 page PDF they released on June 12, 2017, which includes the timeline of request to release, the FEMA final response communication with the requested data of any unpublished internal FEMA or unpublished contractor technical or management reports and studies concerning risks from geomagnetic storms, risks from solar flares, and risks from electromagnetic pulse.

Under the category of “assessing the risk”  on page 25, they highlight the 1859 Carrington-Hodgson, stating “Anecdotal observational records of low-latitude red aurora hint that the largest events may occur roughly every 500-600 years, before dropping the bombshell “However, events strong enough to severely impact modern systems may occur as frequently as once in 100 years .

shown in the chart below, they list the trigger/Scenario event as “CME arrives at Earth causing geomagnetic storm,” showing the warning times listed as “15 minutes for geoeffectivity (17 hours from flare sighting). Affects: GEO satellites on daylight side exposed to solar plasma ; Some satellite communications and GPS signals severely disrupted due to scintillation in ionosphere; HF systems may work due to increased ionization at ionosphere F Layer ; Significant power grid collapses may occur in North America and elsewhere; could require 4-1 0 years to fully restore; “Last mile” telecommunications lost where no backup power available (e.g. cable, VoIP, data networks, etc.)

While many preppers understand clearly that in a grid down scenario, we are on our own, or part of a community that is prepared, but the government will not immediately be on hand to help,  but those that have denied that any grid down scenario could potentially last for years, will be completely unprepared for the fact that according to this newly revealed report, FEMA itself, as well as “partners at all levels, specifically state and local emergency management organizations that rely on amateur HF for incident operations support, will be suffering disruptions.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on July 09, 2017, 01:25:35 PM
Probably due to a Solar (Geomagnetic ) disturbance, these will greatly increase as Planet-X approaches ..

Amid Heat Wave, Fire Causes Power Outage for Part of Los Angeles!

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/09/us/los-angeles-heat-fire.html


A fire late Saturday at a Los Angeles Department of Water and Power facility forced officials to cut off power to about 140,000 city residents, leaving them without air-conditioning for roughly 12 hours during a record-breaking heat wave.

The fire, which broke out at a receiving station in the northern Los Angeles neighborhood of Northridge., burned intensely on and around high-voltage equipment, said Brian Humphrey, a spokesman for the Los Angeles Fire Department.

Columns of smoke billowed over the San Fernando Valley as firefighters worked for about two hours to extinguish the blaze, he said.

The fire left grid operators with no choice but to shut down power so that crews could safely put out the flames. Officials said in a statement on Saturday that the energy transmission system in the northern part of the city “was significantly disrupted by the fire and subsequent outage.”

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 18, 2017, 06:25:20 AM
MadMax, thanks for posting... situation was worse than I had thought...
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   G2 Geomagnetic storm in past 24 hours...
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on July 25, 2017, 02:41:19 AM
Tick...Tock....Tick...

We got lucky! Monster sunspot AR2665 which faced Earth two weeks ago ejects a massive flare as big as the Carrington event and it's coming back!!

http://www.thebigwobble.org/2017/07/we-got-lucky-monster-sunspot-ar2665.html

NASA's STEREO-A spacecraft, which has a partial view of the sun's farside, identified the source of the blast as active sunspot AR2665

A massive flash on the far side of our Sun have the experts very excited as they believe it might have been the most intense kind of X-class flare, the sort that can knockout satellites and electrical equipment here on Earth.

It came from the massive sunspot AR2665 which was facing Earth just two 2 weeks ago when it fired off three big M-class flares, one of them being the biggest since April 2017.
The monster sunspot AR2665 is not finished however, and could well be facing Earth again next week as the as it swings round on the Sun's rotation.

According to Sacewather.com today's farside explosion occurred on the 5th anniversary of another significant farside event: The Solar Superstorm of July 23, 2012.
That superstorm, which has been compared to the historic Carrington Event of 1859, could have caused widespread power blackouts if it had not missed our planet.

Max.

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 27, 2017, 01:37:04 PM
MadMax, thanks and we will be on the lookout for Monster sunspot AR2665 when it comes back around!
- Barb Townsend
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on August 05, 2017, 12:05:02 PM
Power Outages Continue from the Latest Solar Storm ..

LATEST SOLAR NEWS:
(Aug 5 1115UTC) Solar wind has peaked and despite multiple electrical disruptions yesterday, the event was modest only- just enduring. Solar wind should begin to calm down over the next 24 hours.

http://spaceweathernews.com/

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 17, 2017, 04:05:48 AM
There is a G1 Geomagnetic Storm Warning until 1500 UTC today, 11 AM EDT.
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (MINOR) STORM CONDITIONS OBSERVED AT 17/0816 UTC
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 05, 2017, 07:39:14 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

A SOLAR STORM IS COMING: On Sept. 4th at approximately 2030 UT, active sunspot AR2673 hurled a CME toward Earth: movie. NOAA analysts are still modeling the cloud's trajectory. At first glance, the CME appears likely to reach our planet on Sept. 6th with the possibility of moderately strong (G2-class) geomagnetic storms when it arrives. Stay tuned for an updated forecast.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 05, 2017, 04:21:02 PM
In the next several days Level 2-3 Geomagnetic Storms are expected ..

WSO - SPECIAL REPORT - HUGE CME Flashes HUGE ORB

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYp7If6LiY0

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 05, 2017, 11:40:53 PM
MadMax thanks for your post. Wow!
Screenshot, the coming G3 Geomagnetic Storm   http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 06, 2017, 01:00:01 PM

LATEST SOLAR NEWS:
(Sep 6 1408UTC) First images of the CME come from STEREO A which shows a large, likely earth-directed CME.
(Sep 6 1229UTC) An X9.3 solar flare has erupted – significant CME analysis will need to take place today. This flare was the largest in 12 years and is the 15th largest solar flare on record.
(Sep 6 1143UTC) An X class solar flare erupted this morning – CME analysis is a few hours away. Meanwhile, solar wind must be monitored today for the impact of the CME that erupted two days ago. Strong geomagnetic storms are expected.

http://spaceweathernews.com/

Max
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 06, 2017, 01:09:27 PM
WSO good summary of the X-Class flair that occurred this morning..

WSO - Huge SOLAR FLARE Alert! Plus - DIRECT SHOT OF NEMESIS

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SlUfaePT3d8

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 06, 2017, 04:07:28 PM
Hope everyone has their generators ready!!

http://spaceweathernews.com/

LATEST SOLAR NEWS:
(Sep 6 2244UTC) All indications are that this latest CME will hit earth too- no need to wait for updated ENLIL spirals. Consecutive impact scenario is at hand! Multiple impacts can be compounding and amount to greater effects than single events that are much larger.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 07, 2017, 03:04:31 AM
WSO - Are We Facing a Carrington Level Event? What does it Mean?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7D0NP-njwI

WSO - Black Sky Exercise 'Coincidentally' Complete Just Before X9.3 Solar Flare!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F6NaFlBdc7U

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 07, 2017, 02:04:21 PM
The hits just keep on coming ..

WSO - SPECIAL REPORT - Another X Flare and M Flare Burst

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uxn2CLnMGrw

Max.

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 08, 2017, 03:20:23 AM
Level Four Geomagnetic storms underway, we should expect widespread “electrical disruptions” ..

(Sep 8 0059UTC) The second shockwave has struck and was very powerful. It is driving Level 4 Geomagnetic Storms and we still have to keep our eye on the solar wind for impact #3. Solar flaring may continue but will be less geoeffective as the sunspot is finally departing.
(Sep 7 1121UTC) The first CME was not tremendously powerful and only low level geomagnetic unrest exists. Solar flaring is decreased from yesterday morning but M class solar flares are still erupting. Next shockwave expected in 24 hours.

http://spaceweathernews.com/

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 08, 2017, 02:50:46 PM
Electrical effects are occurring all over the planet from the massive series of Solar X-Flairs , this could be the start of the “Kill Shot” sequence ..

(Sep 8 1115UTC) The solar wind indicates that the 2nd and 3rd CMEs may have merged into one extended impact. Even without more, geomagnetic disruptions will reverberate throughout the day. If there is yet another impact due, we could see Level 5 storms!!

http://spaceweathernews.com/


http://www.suspicious0bservers.org/

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 11, 2017, 02:39:25 AM
Looks like the Kill Shot sequence has started!!

Solar Killshot Aimed At Mars, Venus, Mercury | Level 3 Proton Storm

(Sep 10 0128UTC) An X8.2 solar flare erupted as the sunspot turned away from earth. The sunspot was behind the limb so the actual flare may have been X10 or higher. There is a very strong proton radiation storm in progress, and the CME model on the ENLIL spiral (below on this page) does not match satellite imagery, which shows more than half the solar system affected by this blast.

http://spaceweathernews.com

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 11, 2017, 04:41:18 PM
Good summary of the “Planet Killer” X-Flair that just took place yesterday!

WSO - X 8.3 CME Waaaaay Longer/Bigger - HEADS UP

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ywMYlzbyJw

Max.

Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on September 17, 2017, 03:08:20 PM
LATEST SOLAR NEWS:

(Sep 17 1847UTC) FARSIDE UPDATE: A powerful double-eruption, likely in the X class range, has occurred on the far side of the sun from the big sunspot that gave us our flares last week. It is still very active, and the flare/CME are visible on STEREO A/SOHO coronagraphs

http://spaceweathernews.com/

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 24, 2017, 08:46:23 PM
G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued For 27 September

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: R.R. Book on September 25, 2017, 04:44:51 AM
Barb,

What can the average person do to prepare for one of these, with this kind of advanced alert?  Socrates was explaining earlier that we should have some cash on hand and stay inside, but is there more that we can do?
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 26, 2017, 02:34:08 PM
Barb,

What can the average person do to prepare for one of these, with this kind of advanced alert?  Socrates was explaining earlier that we should have some cash on hand and stay inside, but is there more that we can do?
Suspicious0bservers has an app for a fee, disaster prediction...

Here is one other , randomly chosen... will do more soon:

http://solaralertapp.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: R.R. Book on September 26, 2017, 04:24:13 PM
Well, they truly have an app for everything nowadays, don't they! :)
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 26, 2017, 06:50:47 PM
Well, they truly have an app for everything nowadays, don't they! :)

R.R. I am posting these from Ben Davidson, Suspicious0bservers site.

The Disaster Prediction App:

Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.disasterprediction.ios

Apple: https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/disaster-prediction-app/id1177806007

Tutorial Video for App: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdQxdPuIdoA

Weatherman’s Guide to the Sun: https://store.bookbaby.com/book/Weathermans-Guide-to-the-Sun

Space Weather Health Alerts: http://spaceweathernews.com/space-weather-health-alerts/

Come to our Conference! Register Today!

Earth-Facing Quiet Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHSoxioQtwZeQEvUs5txeckCJ3dBB4JqF
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: R.R. Book on September 26, 2017, 06:59:40 PM
Barb, you are the go-to person for resources!  Thanks so much!
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 06, 2017, 08:35:19 PM
Barb, you are the go-to person for resources!  Thanks so much!

RR I learn so much from you.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 01, 2017, 10:45:30 AM
No geomagnetic storms predicted for today
...
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.spaceweather.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 12, 2017, 08:16:13 AM
Nada

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 15, 2017, 01:36:18 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

CO-ROTATING INTERACTION REGION: Later today, Nov. 14th, a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) might hit Earth. CIRs are transition zones between slow- and fast-moving solar wind streams. They contain plasma density gradients and intense magnetic fields that often do a good job sparking auroras. NOAA forecasters say that G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on Nov. 14-15 after the CIR arrives
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 06, 2017, 12:38:43 PM
There was a G1 watch yesterday, one today too...
...
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 11, 2018, 07:42:42 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM PREDICTED: NOAA forecasters say there is a 45% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms on Jan. 13th when a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) hits Earth's magnetic field. CIRs are transition zones between slow- and fast-moving solar wind streams. They contain shock-like density gradients and enhanced magnetic fields that can do a good job sparking polar auroras
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 14, 2018, 05:47:23 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 09, 2018, 02:51:34 PM
No geomagnetic storm warnings yet

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 13, 2018, 08:08:21 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/  SUNSPOT EXPLODES, HURLS CME AT EARTH: On Feb. 12th, the magnetic canopy of sunspot AR2699 exploded--for more than 6 hours

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  G1 geomagnetic storm watch
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 04, 2018, 12:18:19 AM
http://spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC OUTLOOK: Earth's magnetic field is expected to be mostly undisturbed for the first three days of March. Geomagnetic activity might increase, however, on March 4th when solar wind flowing from a northern hole in the sun's atmosphere grazes our planet. Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras at that time. Free: Aurora Alerts
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: MadMax on March 14, 2018, 02:40:35 AM
Hope everyone has their generators ready!!

Massive X-Class Solar Storm To Slam Earth Tomorrow, Could Knockout Satellites, Power  :o


https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-13/massive-x-class-solar-storm-slam-earth-tomorrow-could-knockout-satellites-power

A solar storm caused by an X-Class solar flare facing directly towards earth is likely to hit tomorrow. The brunt of the activity will be in the higher latitudes, however the aurora it generates could result in Northern Lights as far south as Michigan and Maine, as well as parts of Scotland and Northern England.

he X-class flare was the first of two, according to NASA. It is the largest in 2018, as well as one of the largest in the sun's current cycle known as the solar minimum which began in 2007. The arrival of the storm could leave commercial flights and GPS systems vulnerable to disruption - however the storm is currently considered a G-1, or "minor geomagnetic storm," which could become more serious depending on how the charged particles hit the earth.

Max.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on July 21, 2018, 05:25:06 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM PREDICTED: NOAA analysts predict a G1-class geomagnetic storm on July 24th when a stream of solar wind is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. The gaseous material is flowing from a large hole in the sun's atmosphere. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: R.R. Book on September 20, 2018, 06:29:09 AM
https://spaceweathernews.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/screen-shot-2016-10-31-at-2-42-55-pm.png

Chart detailing consequences to humans from geomagnetic storms at each level of intensity.  The lower the KP Index, the more psychic humans become, per those who study remote viewing (i.e. magnetic shields up=privacy, magnetic shields down=no privacy).  Both a very low and a very high KP Index can have cardiovascular consequences:

Referred by: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RlG0kFBOY-U

(https://spaceweathernews.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/screen-shot-2016-10-31-at-2-42-55-pm.png)
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: R.R. Book on September 20, 2018, 07:35:49 AM
The magnetosphere is normally at its weakest (not counting due to causes such as Px), near the equinoxes, and strongest near the solstices.  This means the sun has a stronger rope-like connection with the earth during the equinoxes because our shields are down.

Between the Autumnal Equinox and the end of October is the best opportunity for viewing auroras, as a result.
https://spaceweatherarchive.com/2018/09/14/equinox-cracks-in-earths-magnetic-field/

(https://i1.wp.com/spaceweather.com/images2018/07sep18/Yuichi-Takasaka-C603-6659_1536232130_strip.jpg)
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 09, 2018, 03:05:21 AM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

CHANCE OF GEOMAGNETIC STORMS: A large hole in the sun's atmosphere is facing Earth, spewing solar wind toward our planet. Estimated time of arrival: Nov. 10th. NOAA forecasters say there is a 55% to 60% chance of minor G1-class geomagnetic storms when the gaseous material arrives. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras tomorrow night.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 25, 2018, 02:35:53 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

THE NEXT GEOMAGNETIC STORM: Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on Nov. 30th when a stream of solar wind hits Earth's magnetic field. The gaseous material is glowing from a large hole in the sun's atmosphere, now turning to face Earth. Arctic auroras are likely later this week.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on November 30, 2018, 10:13:00 PM
http://spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM PREDICTED: NOAA forecasters say there is a 70% chance of minor G1-class geomagnetic storms on Dec. 1st and 2nd when a stream of solar wind hits Earth's magnetic field. The gaseous material is flowing from a large hole in the sun's atmosphere. This is a long-lasting hole that has lashed Earth with solar wind about once a month since July. The last time it happened on Nov. 4th, auroras were sighted in US states including Wyoming, Montana, Iowa, Washington, North Dakota and, of course, Alaska. It could happen again this weekend. Free: Aurora Alerts.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on December 01, 2018, 09:51:05 AM
Yowbarb Note: G1 now in effect, more could be on the way on the 5th.
...http://spaceweather.com/

SPOTLESS SUN HURLS A CME TOWARD EARTH: Yesterday, Nov. 30th, a filament of magnetism in the sun's southern hemisphere erupted, hurling a CME into space. NOAA analysts say the expanding cloud has an Earth-directed component. The slow-moving CME could deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field on Dec. 5th, possibly sparking polar geomagnetic storms
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 11, 2019, 12:47:11 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

WEEKEND GEOMAGNETIC UNREST: For the next few days, Earth is expected to skim through a number of minor solar wind streams associated with a southern hole in the sun's atmosphere. This will likely stir magnetic unrest around Earth's poles, albeit not full-fledged geomagnetic storms. Intermittent Arctic auroras are possible this weekend.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on January 25, 2019, 02:50:48 PM
Past 24 hours,

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Observed  https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 01, 2019, 10:41:37 AM
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/  G1 Minor Geomagnetic Storm observed past 24 hours
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on February 11, 2019, 12:25:57 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

LONG RANGE FORECAST: Geomagnetic activity should remain low for the next week as Earth passes through a "slow zone" between two streams of solar wind. G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on Feb. 19th when the solar wind speed picks up again. The gaseous material is coming from a long-lasting hole in the sun's atmosphere, due to return a week hence
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 10, 2019, 08:37:52 PM
Yowbarb Note: A G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm is predicted in the coming 24 hours.
...
CHANCE OF STORMS ON MONDAY: NOAA forecasters say there is a 55% chance of G1-class geomagnetic storms on March 11th when Earth has a close encounter with two coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The solar storm clouds left the sun on March 8th when sunspot AR2734 produced a C1-class solar flare. Neither CME is heading directly for Earth, but a double glancing blow could produce beautiful Arctic auroras.

http://www.spaceweather.com/    https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 17, 2019, 02:54:48 AM
AG1 storm (Minor) was observed today/http://www.spaceweather.com/

A VERY SLOW-MOVING CME: On Mar. 12th, the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory detected a faint coronal mass ejection (CME) slowly billowing away from the sun. Five days later, the storm cloud may be approaching Earth. How slow is it? Slower than the surrounding solar wind. In fact, the solar wind may be dragging the CME toward us. The impact of this leisurely CME could occur on Mar. 17th adding its effect to the geomagnetic storms already underway. See below! Aurora Alerts: SMS text, email.

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/   
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: ilinda on March 17, 2019, 04:44:10 PM
AG1 storm (Minor) was observed today/http://www.spaceweather.com/

A VERY SLOW-MOVING CME: On Mar. 12th, the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory detected a faint coronal mass ejection (CME) slowly billowing away from the sun. Five days later, the storm cloud may be approaching Earth. How slow is it? Slower than the surrounding solar wind. In fact, the solar wind may be dragging the CME toward us. The impact of this leisurely CME could occur on Mar. 17th adding its effect to the geomagnetic storms already underway. See below! Aurora Alerts: SMS text, email.

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Does anyone know if a CME would affect Schumann Resonance, and how?
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: R.R. Book on March 17, 2019, 05:53:21 PM
Very good question.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Jimfarmer on March 18, 2019, 12:49:46 AM
Quote
Does anyone know if a CME would affect Schumann Resonance, and how?

Not really, but let's think.

The only way to change the various resonant frequencies is to raise or lower the ionosphere.  However, the power of the multiple electromagnetic frequencies that are ricocheting between the ionosphere and the surface of the Earth does vary.

So, the Sun shoots a CME at Earth, and we have a flux of ions striking the magnetosphere.

Hmm.  I expect that some electromagnetic frequencies would be generated.  So, the power level in some of the Schumann frequencies could be increased as some of those generated EMFs ricochet around the Earth.

But would the ionosphere be displaced?  Well possibly locally and temporarily if the CME is very strong, but otherwise not.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: ilinda on March 18, 2019, 05:58:27 PM
Wasn't that one of HAARP's functions--to raise or lower the ionosphere?  At one point "they" spread the word that HAARP was not functioning much anymore, but it's hard for me to swallow that one.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: R.R. Book on March 18, 2019, 06:05:39 PM
In addition, there are other "HAARP" facilities on earth, under different names...
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on March 21, 2019, 11:06:24 PM
G2:

http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters say that moderate G2-class geomagnetic storms are possible on March 23rd when a coronal mass ejection (CME) is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. The solar storm cloud was hurled in our direction by an explosion in the magnetic canopy of sunspot AR2736 on March 20th. During G2-class storms, auroras may be seen in northern-tier US states as far south as New York and Idaho.

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on April 30, 2019, 12:39:00 PM
No Geomagnetic Storm Warnings yet. Some minor storm expected in the next two days because of a large earth-facing coronal hole.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 03, 2019, 08:38:04 PM
Yowbarb Note -
This is the first C flare (C1) in many a month:
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

https://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/goes-xray-flux.gif
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 03, 2019, 09:25:38 PM
no warnings now

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 05, 2019, 11:32:51 AM
There was a G2 Geomagnetic storm, no warnings now

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 13, 2019, 03:05:36 AM
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 (Minor) Watch in Effect for 15 May 2019, UTC-Day
published: Sunday, May 12, 2019 14:10 UTC
A G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm watch is in effect for the 15 May 2019 UTC-day due to anticipated CME arrivals.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on May 17, 2019, 11:54:51 PM
No storm, CMEs missed the earth

http://www.spaceweather.com/

STORM CANCELLED: It's official. The CMEs missed. A series of coronal mass ejections expected to hit Earth's magnetic field between May 15th and May 17th did not hit--at least, not directly. When NOAA forecasters said there was a 75% chance of storms, that also meant a 25% chance of no storms. This time the 25% won
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on June 11, 2019, 01:24:58 AM
Yowbarb Note: Geomagnetic storm not predicted yet:  https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.spaceweather.com/

SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS TOMORROW: A stealthy CME might hit Earth's magnetic field on June 12th. Four days ago a magnetic filament on the sun exploded. No CME was observed leaving the blast site, but NOAA forecasters think it might exist anyway--a faint storm cloud moving slowly across the sun-Earth divide. If the CME does exist, its impact could spark minor geomagnetic storms and high-latitude auroras on Wednesday.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 24, 2019, 11:50:18 PM
Yowbarb Note: No Geomagnetic Storm Warning yet.
...
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

http://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM FORECAST: A hole in the sun's atmosphere is facing Earth and spewing a stream of solar wind in our direction. Estimated time of arrival: Aug. 27-28. Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms and high-latitude auroras are possible when the gaseous material arrives
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 30, 2019, 02:05:28 AM
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 Watch 31 Aug & G2 Watch 1 Sep, 2019 UTC-Days
published: Thursday, August 29, 2019 20:43 UTC
A G2 (Moderate) Watch is now in effect for the 1 September, 2019 UTC-day; while the G1 (Minor) Watch remains in effect for the 31 August, 2019 UTC-
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 30, 2019, 11:32:55 PM
Yowbarb Note: G1 Geomagnetic storm happened.
G2 storm is predicted for September 01.
...
http://www.spaceweather.com/

THE SOLAR WIND HAS ARRIVED: Earth is entering a stream of fast-moving solar wind that NOAA forecasters say could spark G1- to G2-class geomagnetic storms. The gaseous material is flowing from a large hole in the sun's atmosphere. The last time this stream hit Earth's magnetic field, almost a month ago, auroras were observed in multiple northern-tier US states. It could happen again this weekend.

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 31, 2019, 06:45:49 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

SUBSIDING STORM:
A G2-class geomagnetic storm that began during the early hours of Aug. 31st is subsiding now. During the peak of the storm, auroras were observed in the USA as far south as Wisconsin and Michigan. Although the storm is subsiding, it could flare up again on Sept. 1st. A stream of solar wind continues to buffet Earth's magnetic field at speeds near 700 km/s. Auroras around the Arctic Circle are all but certain, while a second episode of auroras in northern-tier US states cannot be ruled out. Aurora alerts: SMS Text. https://www.spaceweatheralerts.com/

Wisconsin auroras:
https://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=155871

Michigan auroras:  https://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=155869
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on August 31, 2019, 06:51:27 PM
http://www.spaceweather.com/

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index

Planetary K Index 3 hr data, Begin 2019 Aug 0000 UTC
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 04, 2019, 10:52:23 PM
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

G1 minor Geomagnetic Storm predicted
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 26, 2019, 11:53:05 AM
Yowbarb Note:  There was a G2 (moderate) Geomagnetic Storm Warning today.. This storm not expected to hit until the 28th, UTC.. NOAA is not totally sure it will hit.
...
https://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WARNING: A large hole in the sun's atmosphere is facing Earth and spraying solar wind in our direction. Estimated time of arrival: Sept. 28. NOAA forecasters say G1- and G2-class geomagnetic storms are possible when the gaseous material reaches Earth.

We've seen this "coronal hole" before. It previously faced Earth a month ago. Solar wind emerging at 750 km/s firehosed our planet's magnetosphere on Aug. 31st-Sept. 1st, sparking G2-class geomagnetic storms. In the USA, auroras were sighted in multiple states including Wisconsin, Michigan, Montana, Wyoming, Idaho, and Maine.

A repeat performance is possible in the nights ahead. Sign up for Space Weather Alerts and receive a text message when auroras appear in your area.  https://www.spaceweatheralerts.com/
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: ilinda on September 26, 2019, 06:12:21 PM
This looks like a big one coming.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on September 26, 2019, 10:30:13 PM
ilinda, it does look like a big one... Only as high as G2 is currently predicted... but it feels like it could be bigger than that... or a different one in the near future...

G1 Sep 27, G2 Sep 28 2019 predicted, NOAA

NOAA Geomagnetic Storms Scales, G1 through G5
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 19, 2019, 10:35:58 PM
Note: G1 (minor) Geomagnetic Storm is likely to happen Oct. 24-25
...https://www.spaceweather.com/

A DOUBLE-GUST OF SOLAR WIND: Earth is about to get hit by solar wind--twice. Two streams of solar wind are heading our way. They're flowing from a pair of holes in the sun's atmosphere, shown in this extreme ultraviolet image from NASA's Solar Dynamic Observatory:

The first blow is due on Oct. 21 when gaseous material arrives from the coronal hole on the right. It is expected to spark Arctic auroras, but probably not full-fledged geomagnetic storms. The wind from this hole is blowing ~500 km/s.

The second blow will fall on Oct. 24-25 when gaseous material arrives from the coronal hole on the left. This is a more potent stream, blowing ~700 km/s. It could cause G1-class geomagnetic storms and auroras in northern-tier US states from Maine to Washington. Aurora alerts: SMS Text.
Title: Re: Geomagnetic Warnings, Topic in Honor of Ed Douglas
Post by: Yowbarb on October 22, 2019, 03:10:02 AM
https://www.spaceweather.com/

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on Oct. 24-25 when a stream of solar wind hits Earth's magnetic field. The gaseous material is flowing ~700 km/s from a large hole in the sun's atmosphere. Auroras could descend into northern-tier US states from Maine to Washington.